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選挙·ヴァンス

トランプ氏は2027年までにJDヴァンス氏を大統領に推薦するだろうか？

Market icon
選挙·ヴァンス

トランプ氏は2027年までにJDヴァンス氏を大統領に推薦するだろうか？

はい

14% chance
Polymarket

$47,056 Vol.

はい

14% chance
Polymarket

$47,056 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly endorses, or announces that he will vote for, JD Vance for the 2028 United States presidential election or the Republican primary for that election, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". If Donald Trump announces that he will vote for another candidate or endorses another candidate for the 2028 United States presidential election or the Republican primary for that election, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement.President Donald Trump's repeated reluctance to endorse Vice President JD Vance as his 2028 Republican successor drives the 86.5% implied probability on "No," reflecting trader consensus on sustained GOP competition. In a late February 2026 Mar-a-Lago gathering, Trump informally polled about 25 donors and allies on Vance versus Secretary of State Marco Rubio, eliciting overwhelming cheers and 80-20 support for Rubio per NBC News and WSJ reports. Earlier in February, Trump praised both as "very capable" but declined to choose, telling Reuters it's premature while signaling he'd be inclined to back a successor later. This keeps Vance's path uncertain amid rising Rubio buzz from foreign policy roles, with no formal endorsement despite ample opportunities. Late-breaking shifts like scandals or primaries could alter dynamics before 2027 resolution.

President Donald Trump's repeated reluctance to endorse Vice President JD Vance as his 2028 Republican successor drives the 86.5% implied probability on "No," reflecting trader consensus on sustained GOP competition. In a late February 2026 Mar-a-Lago gathering, Trump informally polled about 25 donors and allies on Vance versus Secretary of State Marco Rubio, eliciting overwhelming cheers and 80-20 support for Rubio per NBC News and WSJ reports. Earlier in February, Trump praised both as "very capable" but declined to choose, telling Reuters it's premature while signaling he'd be inclined to back a successor later. This keeps Vance's path uncertain amid rising Rubio buzz from foreign policy roles, with no formal endorsement despite ample opportunities. Late-breaking shifts like scandals or primaries could alter dynamics before 2027 resolution.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly endorses, or announces that he will vote for, JD Vance for the 2028 United States presidential election or the Republican primary for that election, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". If Donald Trump announces that he will vote for another candidate or endorses another candidate for the 2028 United States presidential election or the Republican primary for that election, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement.President Donald Trump's repeated reluctance to endorse Vice President JD Vance as his 2028 Republican successor drives the 86.5% implied probability on "No," reflecting trader consensus on sustained GOP competition. In a late February 2026 Mar-a-Lago gathering, Trump informally polled about 25 donors and allies on Vance versus Secretary of State Marco Rubio, eliciting overwhelming cheers and 80-20 support for Rubio per NBC News and WSJ reports. Earlier in February, Trump praised both as "very capable" but declined to choose, telling Reuters it's premature while signaling he'd be inclined to back a successor later. This keeps Vance's path uncertain amid rising Rubio buzz from foreign policy roles, with no formal endorsement despite ample opportunities. Late-breaking shifts like scandals or primaries could alter dynamics before 2027 resolution.

President Donald Trump's repeated reluctance to endorse Vice President JD Vance as his 2028 Republican successor drives the 86.5% implied probability on "No," reflecting trader consensus on sustained GOP competition. In a late February 2026 Mar-a-Lago gathering, Trump informally polled about 25 donors and allies on Vance versus Secretary of State Marco Rubio, eliciting overwhelming cheers and 80-20 support for Rubio per NBC News and WSJ reports. Earlier in February, Trump praised both as "very capable" but declined to choose, telling Reuters it's premature while signaling he'd be inclined to back a successor later. This keeps Vance's path uncertain amid rising Rubio buzz from foreign policy roles, with no formal endorsement despite ample opportunities. Late-breaking shifts like scandals or primaries could alter dynamics before 2027 resolution.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「トランプ氏は2027年までにJDヴァンス氏を大統領に推薦するだろうか？」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「トランプは2027年までにJDヴァンスを大統領候補として支持するか？」で14%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、14¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に14%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「トランプ氏は2027年までにJDヴァンス氏を大統領に推薦するだろうか？」は$47.1Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Dec 22, 2025のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

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「トランプ氏は2027年までにJDヴァンス氏を大統領に推薦するだろうか？」の現在のフロントランナーは「トランプは2027年までにJDヴァンスを大統領候補として支持するか？」で14%であり、市場がこの結果に14%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

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