Polling averages from sources like RealClearPolitics and FiveThirtyEight show Donald Trump leading Kamala Harris nationally by 2-3 points and in most swing states, driving the 80% "No" trader consensus for a female US president. Recent criticism of the administration's response to Hurricanes Helene and Milton has eroded Harris's post-debate momentum from September 10, with polls indicating stagnant support among key demographics like Latino and young voters. Trump's large rallies, including a return to Butler, Pennsylvania, and unified Republican messaging on economy, immigration, and border security have sustained his edge. Electoral College math favors the GOP path through battlegrounds like Pennsylvania, Georgia, and Arizona, amid historical precedent of no woman winning the presidency. Early voting begins soon, with November 5 election as resolution trigger.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日はい
はい
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution sources for this market will be the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
マーケット開始日: Feb 17, 2026, 5:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution sources for this market will be the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Polling averages from sources like RealClearPolitics and FiveThirtyEight show Donald Trump leading Kamala Harris nationally by 2-3 points and in most swing states, driving the 80% "No" trader consensus for a female US president. Recent criticism of the administration's response to Hurricanes Helene and Milton has eroded Harris's post-debate momentum from September 10, with polls indicating stagnant support among key demographics like Latino and young voters. Trump's large rallies, including a return to Butler, Pennsylvania, and unified Republican messaging on economy, immigration, and border security have sustained his edge. Electoral College math favors the GOP path through battlegrounds like Pennsylvania, Georgia, and Arizona, amid historical precedent of no woman winning the presidency. Early voting begins soon, with November 5 election as resolution trigger.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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