Early frontrunners in 2028 Democratic nomination betting markets and national polls, including Gavin Newsom and Jon Ossoff, are male candidates with executive or Senate records emphasizing broad electability. Post-2024 rebuilding has shifted focus toward figures seen as strong general-election contenders, with women such as Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Kamala Harris polling competitively but trailing in implied probabilities. No major recent announcements or polling surges have elevated a female contender above the male pack, sustaining trader consensus around a 70% likelihood the nominee will be a man. Upcoming primary debates and endorsements could still alter positioning before formal declarations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
30% 確率
新規
新規
2028/11/07
はい
30% 確率
新規
新規
2028/11/07
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Early frontrunners in 2028 Democratic nomination betting markets and national polls, including Gavin Newsom and Jon Ossoff, are male candidates with executive or Senate records emphasizing broad electability. Post-2024 rebuilding has shifted focus toward figures seen as strong general-election contenders, with women such as Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Kamala Harris polling competitively but trailing in implied probabilities. No major recent announcements or polling surges have elevated a female contender above the male pack, sustaining trader consensus around a 70% likelihood the nominee will be a man. Upcoming primary debates and endorsements could still alter positioning before formal declarations.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
マーケット開始日： Feb 17, 2026, 5:42 PM ET
音量
$3,369終了日
2028/11/07マーケット開始日
Feb 17, 2026, 5:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Early frontrunners in 2028 Democratic nomination betting markets and national polls, including Gavin Newsom and Jon Ossoff, are male candidates with executive or Senate records emphasizing broad electability. Post-2024 rebuilding has shifted focus toward figures seen as strong general-election contenders, with women such as Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Kamala Harris polling competitively but trailing in implied probabilities. No major recent announcements or polling surges have elevated a female contender above the male pack, sustaining trader consensus around a 70% likelihood the nominee will be a man. Upcoming primary debates and endorsements could still alter positioning before formal declarations.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$3,369終了日
2028/11/07マーケット開始日
Feb 17, 2026, 5:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Early frontrunners in 2028 Democratic nomination betting markets and national polls, including Gavin Newsom and Jon Ossoff, are male candidates with executive or Senate records emphasizing broad electability. Post-2024 rebuilding has shifted focus toward figures seen as strong general-election contenders, with women such as Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Kamala Harris polling competitively but trailing in implied probabilities. No major recent announcements or polling surges have elevated a female contender above the male pack, sustaining trader consensus around a 70% likelihood the nominee will be a man. Upcoming primary debates and endorsements could still alter positioning before formal declarations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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