Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 73% implied probability against a female 2028 Democratic presidential nominee, driven by early primary polls favoring male contenders like California Governor Gavin Newsom and former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg. A February New Hampshire survey placed Buttigieg at 20% among Democratic primary voters, ahead of Newsom and others, while national polling averages similarly highlight Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro and Illinois Governor JB Pritzker. Gretchen Whitmer trails despite her profile, and Kamala Harris faces skepticism from moderates after the 2024 loss, with March reports of party pragmatists mobilizing in South Carolina against progressive women like Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez. The 2026 midterms loom as a key test for emerging fields.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日はい
NEW
NEW
Nov 7, 2028
はい
NEW
NEW
Nov 7, 2028
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 73% implied probability against a female 2028 Democratic presidential nominee, driven by early primary polls favoring male contenders like California Governor Gavin Newsom and former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg. A February New Hampshire survey placed Buttigieg at 20% among Democratic primary voters, ahead of Newsom and others, while national polling averages similarly highlight Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro and Illinois Governor JB Pritzker. Gretchen Whitmer trails despite her profile, and Kamala Harris faces skepticism from moderates after the 2024 loss, with March reports of party pragmatists mobilizing in South Carolina against progressive women like Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez. The 2026 midterms loom as a key test for emerging fields.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
マーケット開始日： Feb 17, 2026, 5:42 PM ET
音量
$165終了日
Nov 7, 2028マーケット開始日
Feb 17, 2026, 5:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 73% implied probability against a female 2028 Democratic presidential nominee, driven by early primary polls favoring male contenders like California Governor Gavin Newsom and former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg. A February New Hampshire survey placed Buttigieg at 20% among Democratic primary voters, ahead of Newsom and others, while national polling averages similarly highlight Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro and Illinois Governor JB Pritzker. Gretchen Whitmer trails despite her profile, and Kamala Harris faces skepticism from moderates after the 2024 loss, with March reports of party pragmatists mobilizing in South Carolina against progressive women like Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez. The 2026 midterms loom as a key test for emerging fields.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$165終了日
Nov 7, 2028マーケット開始日
Feb 17, 2026, 5:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 73% implied probability against a female 2028 Democratic presidential nominee, driven by early primary polls favoring male contenders like California Governor Gavin Newsom and former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg. A February New Hampshire survey placed Buttigieg at 20% among Democratic primary voters, ahead of Newsom and others, while national polling averages similarly highlight Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro and Illinois Governor JB Pritzker. Gretchen Whitmer trails despite her profile, and Kamala Harris faces skepticism from moderates after the 2024 loss, with March reports of party pragmatists mobilizing in South Carolina against progressive women like Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez. The 2026 midterms loom as a key test for emerging fields.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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