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Will Taylor Swift release a new original song by October 2?

Market icon

Will Taylor Swift release a new original song by October 2?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$193,250 Vol.

>99% chance
Polymarket

$193,250 Vol.

Taylor Swift’s 12th studio album, The Life of a Showgirl, is scheduled for release on October 3, 2025. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Taylor Swift officially releases a new song between September 11 and October 2, 2025, 11:59 PM PT. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released song is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Re-releases/remasters, remixes, acoustic versions, and re-recordings of previously released songs will not count; only new songs, officially released by Taylor Swift under her name, will qualify toward this market's resolution. Taylor Swift featuring on another artist's song will not qualify toward this market's resolution. The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g., Apple Music or Spotify.

Taylor Swift’s 12th studio album, The Life of a Showgirl, is scheduled for release on October 3, 2025.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Taylor Swift officially releases a new song between September 11 and October 2, 2025, 11:59 PM PT. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Officially released means that a newly released song is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.

Re-releases/remasters, remixes, acoustic versions, and re-recordings of previously released songs will not count; only new songs, officially released by Taylor Swift under her name, will qualify toward this market's resolution. Taylor Swift featuring on another artist's song will not qualify toward this market's resolution.

The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g., Apple Music or Spotify.
音量
$193,250
終了日
Oct 2, 2025
マーケット開始日
Sep 11, 2025, 6:12 PM ET
Taylor Swift’s 12th studio album, The Life of a Showgirl, is scheduled for release on October 3, 2025. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Taylor Swift officially releases a new song between September 11 and October 2, 2025, 11:59 PM PT. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released song is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Re-releases/remasters, remixes, acoustic versions, and re-recordings of previously released songs will not count; only new songs, officially released by Taylor Swift under her name, will qualify toward this market's resolution. Taylor Swift featuring on another artist's song will not qualify toward this market's resolution. The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g., Apple Music or Spotify.

提案された結果: Yes

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: Yes

Taylor Swift’s 12th studio album, The Life of a Showgirl, is scheduled for release on October 3, 2025. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Taylor Swift officially releases a new song between September 11 and October 2, 2025, 11:59 PM PT. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released song is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Re-releases/remasters, remixes, acoustic versions, and re-recordings of previously released songs will not count; only new songs, officially released by Taylor Swift under her name, will qualify toward this market's resolution. Taylor Swift featuring on another artist's song will not qualify toward this market's resolution. The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g., Apple Music or Spotify.

Taylor Swift’s 12th studio album, The Life of a Showgirl, is scheduled for release on October 3, 2025.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Taylor Swift officially releases a new song between September 11 and October 2, 2025, 11:59 PM PT. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Officially released means that a newly released song is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.

Re-releases/remasters, remixes, acoustic versions, and re-recordings of previously released songs will not count; only new songs, officially released by Taylor Swift under her name, will qualify toward this market's resolution. Taylor Swift featuring on another artist's song will not qualify toward this market's resolution.

The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g., Apple Music or Spotify.
音量
$193,250
終了日
Oct 2, 2025
マーケット開始日
Sep 11, 2025, 6:12 PM ET
Taylor Swift’s 12th studio album, The Life of a Showgirl, is scheduled for release on October 3, 2025. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Taylor Swift officially releases a new song between September 11 and October 2, 2025, 11:59 PM PT. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released song is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Re-releases/remasters, remixes, acoustic versions, and re-recordings of previously released songs will not count; only new songs, officially released by Taylor Swift under her name, will qualify toward this market's resolution. Taylor Swift featuring on another artist's song will not qualify toward this market's resolution. The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g., Apple Music or Spotify.

提案された結果: Yes

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: Yes

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「Will Taylor Swift release a new original song by October 2?」はPolymarket上の予測市場で、トレーダーがこのイベントが起こるかどうかに基づいて「はい」または「いいえ」のシェアを売買します。コミュニティによる現在の確率は「Yes」に対して100%です。例えば、「はい」が100¢で取引されている場合、市場はこのイベントが発生する確率を100%と集合的に評価しています。これらのオッズはトレーダーが新しい展開や情報に反応するにつれて継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Will Taylor Swift release a new original song by October 2?」は$193.3Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Sep 11, 2025のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Will Taylor Swift release a new original song by October 2?」で取引するには、答えが「はい」か「いいえ」かを選ぶだけです。各側には市場の暗示確率を反映する現在の価格があります。金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。「はい」のシェアを購入し、結果が「はい」と決まった場合、各シェアは$1を支払います。「いいえ」と決まった場合、「はい」のシェアは$0を支払います。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却して利益を確定したり、損失を抑えたりすることもできます。

「Will Taylor Swift release a new original song by October 2?」の現在の確率は「Yes」に対して100%です。これはPolymarketコミュニティがこのイベントの発生確率を100%と現在評価していることを意味します。これらのオッズは実際の取引に基づいてリアルタイムで更新され、市場の期待を継続的に反映するシグナルを提供します。

「Will Taylor Swift release a new original song by October 2?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。