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Will Roger Federer play at Wimbledon?

Market icon

Will Roger Federer play at Wimbledon?

<1% 確率
Polymarket
新規
<1% 確率
Polymarket
新規
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Roger Federer takes the court as a player in at least one official match during the 2026 Championships at Wimbledon. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any on-court appearance as a player during qualifying and main Wimbledon tournament matches will qualify. No practice rounds, exhibitions, or other play of any kind will be considered. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors "No" at 99.1% implied probability for Roger Federer competing at Wimbledon 2026, driven by his official retirement announcement in 2022 after chronic knee surgeries, with no ATP Tour comeback or Grand Slam entry declared since. Recent exhibition appearances, including a doubles showcase at the 2026 Australian Open where he bested Casper Ruud and a planned grass-court match at the International Tennis Hall of Fame Classic in late August—post-Wimbledon—highlight ceremonial involvement rather than competitive intent. A March visit to the All England Club generated buzz but confirmed no player status. At age 44, historical injury concerns and lack of rankings further solidify trader confidence, though an unprecedented wild card acceptance could theoretically shift odds.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Roger Federer takes the court as a player in at least one official match during the 2026 Championships at Wimbledon. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any on-court appearance as a player during qualifying and main Wimbledon tournament matches will qualify. No practice rounds, exhibitions, or other play of any kind will be considered.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$639
終了日
2026/07/13
マーケット開始日
Mar 26, 2026, 10:59 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Roger Federer takes the court as a player in at least one official match during the 2026 Championships at Wimbledon. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any on-court appearance as a player during qualifying and main Wimbledon tournament matches will qualify. No practice rounds, exhibitions, or other play of any kind will be considered. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Roger Federer takes the court as a player in at least one official match during the 2026 Championships at Wimbledon. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any on-court appearance as a player during qualifying and main Wimbledon tournament matches will qualify. No practice rounds, exhibitions, or other play of any kind will be considered. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors "No" at 99.1% implied probability for Roger Federer competing at Wimbledon 2026, driven by his official retirement announcement in 2022 after chronic knee surgeries, with no ATP Tour comeback or Grand Slam entry declared since. Recent exhibition appearances, including a doubles showcase at the 2026 Australian Open where he bested Casper Ruud and a planned grass-court match at the International Tennis Hall of Fame Classic in late August—post-Wimbledon—highlight ceremonial involvement rather than competitive intent. A March visit to the All England Club generated buzz but confirmed no player status. At age 44, historical injury concerns and lack of rankings further solidify trader confidence, though an unprecedented wild card acceptance could theoretically shift odds.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Roger Federer takes the court as a player in at least one official match during the 2026 Championships at Wimbledon. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any on-court appearance as a player during qualifying and main Wimbledon tournament matches will qualify. No practice rounds, exhibitions, or other play of any kind will be considered.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$639
終了日
2026/07/13
マーケット開始日
Mar 26, 2026, 10:59 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Roger Federer takes the court as a player in at least one official match during the 2026 Championships at Wimbledon. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any on-court appearance as a player during qualifying and main Wimbledon tournament matches will qualify. No practice rounds, exhibitions, or other play of any kind will be considered. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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よくある質問

「Will Roger Federer play at Wimbledon?」はPolymarket上の予測市場で、トレーダーがこのイベントが起こるかどうかに基づいて「はい」または「いいえ」のシェアを売買します。コミュニティによる現在の確率は「Yes」に対して1%です。例えば、「はい」が1¢で取引されている場合、市場はこのイベントが発生する確率を1%と集合的に評価しています。これらのオッズはトレーダーが新しい展開や情報に反応するにつれて継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「Will Roger Federer play at Wimbledon?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Mar 26, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

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「Will Roger Federer play at Wimbledon?」の現在の確率は「Yes」に対して1%です。これはPolymarketコミュニティがこのイベントの発生確率を1%と現在評価していることを意味します。これらのオッズは実際の取引に基づいてリアルタイムで更新され、市場の期待を継続的に反映するシグナルを提供します。

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