Trader consensus prices "None" at 88.5% implied probability for a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026, underscoring the feat's near-impossibility in the modern ATP era—no men's player has swept the Australian Open, French Open, Wimbledon, and US Open in one year since Rod Laver in 1969, due to brutal surface transitions, physical toll from a 10-month grind, and field depth featuring Jannik Sinner, Novak Djokovic, and others. Carlos Alcaraz's 11.6% reflects his prodigious talent at age 22, with three Slams already including 2024 Roland Garros and Wimbledon triumphs, plus multi-surface versatility, but he lacks an AO title amid injury history. Upsets could arise from Alcaraz's total dominance, rivals' setbacks like Djokovic's potential decline, or an unforeseen phenom emerging.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$176,965 Vol.
$176,965 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
なし
89%
カルロス・アルカラス
12%
$176,965 Vol.
$176,965 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
なし
$82,834 Vol.
89%
カルロス・アルカラス
$0 Vol.
12%
This is a market to predict who will win a men's tennis Calendar Grand Slam in 2026.
This market resolves to the single male player who wins the Men’s Singles titles at all four Grand Slam tournaments in 2026. The relevant 2026 Grand Slams are the Men’s Singles tournaments in the 2026 Australian Open, French Open, U.S. Open, and Wimbledon.
For the purpose of this market, a tournament victory is valid regardless of whether the final was won via a walkover, a mid-match retirement, or a standard completed match.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 (e.g. Alcaraz does not win the 2026 Australian Open) this market will resolve immediately to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for anyone to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 this market will resolve immediately to "None".
Otherwise, this market will resolve when the results of the final 2026 Grand Slam are official.
If any of the 2026 Grand Slam Men’s Singles Tournaments are cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “None”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the organizers of the Grand Slam tournaments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "None" at 88.5% implied probability for a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026, underscoring the feat's near-impossibility in the modern ATP era—no men's player has swept the Australian Open, French Open, Wimbledon, and US Open in one year since Rod Laver in 1969, due to brutal surface transitions, physical toll from a 10-month grind, and field depth featuring Jannik Sinner, Novak Djokovic, and others. Carlos Alcaraz's 11.6% reflects his prodigious talent at age 22, with three Slams already including 2024 Roland Garros and Wimbledon triumphs, plus multi-surface versatility, but he lacks an AO title amid injury history. Upsets could arise from Alcaraz's total dominance, rivals' setbacks like Djokovic's potential decline, or an unforeseen phenom emerging.
This is a market to predict who will win a men's tennis Calendar Grand Slam in 2026.
This market resolves to the single male player who wins the Men’s Singles titles at all four Grand Slam tournaments in 2026. The relevant 2026 Grand Slams are the Men’s Singles tournaments in the 2026 Australian Open, French Open, U.S. Open, and Wimbledon.
For the purpose of this market, a tournament victory is valid regardless of whether the final was won via a walkover, a mid-match retirement, or a standard completed match.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 (e.g. Alcaraz does not win the 2026 Australian Open) this market will resolve immediately to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for anyone to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 this market will resolve immediately to "None".
Otherwise, this market will resolve when the results of the final 2026 Grand Slam are official.
If any of the 2026 Grand Slam Men’s Singles Tournaments are cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “None”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the organizers of the Grand Slam tournaments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market resolves to the single male player who wins the Men’s Singles titles at all four Grand Slam tournaments in 2026. The relevant 2026 Grand Slams are the Men’s Singles tournaments in the 2026 Australian Open, French Open, U.S. Open, and Wimbledon.
For the purpose of this market, a tournament victory is valid regardless of whether the final was won via a walkover, a mid-match retirement, or a standard completed match.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 (e.g. Alcaraz does not win the 2026 Australian Open) this market will resolve immediately to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for anyone to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 this market will resolve immediately to "None".
Otherwise, this market will resolve when the results of the final 2026 Grand Slam are official.
If any of the 2026 Grand Slam Men’s Singles Tournaments are cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “None”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the organizers of the Grand Slam tournaments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jan 6, 2026, 2:43 PM ET
音量
$176,965終了日
Dec 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Jan 6, 2026, 2:43 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market to predict who will win a men's tennis Calendar Grand Slam in 2026.
This market resolves to the single male player who wins the Men’s Singles titles at all four Grand Slam tournaments in 2026. The relevant 2026 Grand Slams are the Men’s Singles tournaments in the 2026 Australian Open, French Open, U.S. Open, and Wimbledon.
For the purpose of this market, a tournament victory is valid regardless of whether the final was won via a walkover, a mid-match retirement, or a standard completed match.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 (e.g. Alcaraz does not win the 2026 Australian Open) this market will resolve immediately to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for anyone to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 this market will resolve immediately to "None".
Otherwise, this market will resolve when the results of the final 2026 Grand Slam are official.
If any of the 2026 Grand Slam Men’s Singles Tournaments are cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “None”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the organizers of the Grand Slam tournaments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "None" at 88.5% implied probability for a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026, underscoring the feat's near-impossibility in the modern ATP era—no men's player has swept the Australian Open, French Open, Wimbledon, and US Open in one year since Rod Laver in 1969, due to brutal surface transitions, physical toll from a 10-month grind, and field depth featuring Jannik Sinner, Novak Djokovic, and others. Carlos Alcaraz's 11.6% reflects his prodigious talent at age 22, with three Slams already including 2024 Roland Garros and Wimbledon triumphs, plus multi-surface versatility, but he lacks an AO title amid injury history. Upsets could arise from Alcaraz's total dominance, rivals' setbacks like Djokovic's potential decline, or an unforeseen phenom emerging.
This is a market to predict who will win a men's tennis Calendar Grand Slam in 2026.
This market resolves to the single male player who wins the Men’s Singles titles at all four Grand Slam tournaments in 2026. The relevant 2026 Grand Slams are the Men’s Singles tournaments in the 2026 Australian Open, French Open, U.S. Open, and Wimbledon.
For the purpose of this market, a tournament victory is valid regardless of whether the final was won via a walkover, a mid-match retirement, or a standard completed match.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 (e.g. Alcaraz does not win the 2026 Australian Open) this market will resolve immediately to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for anyone to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 this market will resolve immediately to "None".
Otherwise, this market will resolve when the results of the final 2026 Grand Slam are official.
If any of the 2026 Grand Slam Men’s Singles Tournaments are cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “None”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the organizers of the Grand Slam tournaments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market resolves to the single male player who wins the Men’s Singles titles at all four Grand Slam tournaments in 2026. The relevant 2026 Grand Slams are the Men’s Singles tournaments in the 2026 Australian Open, French Open, U.S. Open, and Wimbledon.
For the purpose of this market, a tournament victory is valid regardless of whether the final was won via a walkover, a mid-match retirement, or a standard completed match.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 (e.g. Alcaraz does not win the 2026 Australian Open) this market will resolve immediately to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for anyone to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 this market will resolve immediately to "None".
Otherwise, this market will resolve when the results of the final 2026 Grand Slam are official.
If any of the 2026 Grand Slam Men’s Singles Tournaments are cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “None”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the organizers of the Grand Slam tournaments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$176,965終了日
Dec 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Jan 6, 2026, 2:43 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices "None" at 88.5% implied probability for a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026, underscoring the feat's near-impossibility in the modern ATP era—no men's player has swept the Australian Open, French Open, Wimbledon, and US Open in one year since Rod Laver in 1969, due to brutal surface transitions, physical toll from a 10-month grind, and field depth featuring Jannik Sinner, Novak Djokovic, and others. Carlos Alcaraz's 11.6% reflects his prodigious talent at age 22, with three Slams already including 2024 Roland Garros and Wimbledon triumphs, plus multi-surface versatility, but he lacks an AO title amid injury history. Upsets could arise from Alcaraz's total dominance, rivals' setbacks like Djokovic's potential decline, or an unforeseen phenom emerging.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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