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Will Mendes be flipped for Portugal Presidential Election by...?

Market icon

Will Mendes be flipped for Portugal Presidential Election by...?

$10,123 Vol.

2026/01/17
Polymarket

$10,123 Vol.

Polymarket
Will Mendes be flipped for Portugal Presidential Election by January 9, 2026? icon

January 9

$7,278 Vol.

Yes

Will Mendes be flipped for Portugal Presidential Election by January 17, 2026? icon

January 17

$2,845 Vol.

Yes

This market will resolve to “Yes” if someone other than Luís Marques Mendes becomes the favorite in the "Portugal Presidential Election" (https://polymarket.com/event/portugal-presidential-election?) for any four-hour period ending by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Someone other than Luís Marques Mendes will be considered to have become the favorite for any four-hour period if another individual is ahead of Luís Marques Mendes in a majority of individual minutes during a qualifying time period. A tie in the number of minutes will not suffice. If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the "Portugal Presidential Election" market, which can be viewed using the below listed bar charts or through the “Resolution” tab with the time set to show the two-hour period window. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. More tracking links will be provided if necessary. António José Seguro: https://derivative.polymarket.com/will-seguro-flip-mendes-in-portugal-presidential-election João Cotrim Figueiredo: https://derivative.polymarket.com/will-figueiredo-flip-mendes-in-portugal-presidential-election Henrique Gouveia e Melo: https://derivative.polymarket.com/will-henrique-gouveia-e-melo-flip-mendes-in-portugal-presidential-election André Ventura: https://derivative.polymarket.com/will-ventura-flip-mendes-in-portugal-presidential-election Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if someone other than Luís Marques Mendes becomes the favorite in the "Portugal Presidential Election" (https://polymarket.com/event/portugal-presidential-election?) for any four-hour period ending by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Someone other than Luís Marques Mendes will be considered to have become the favorite for any four-hour period if another individual is ahead of Luís Marques Mendes in a majority of individual minutes during a qualifying time period.

A tie in the number of minutes will not suffice.

If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome.

The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the "Portugal Presidential Election" market, which can be viewed using the below listed bar charts or through the “Resolution” tab with the time set to show the two-hour period window. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. More tracking links will be provided if necessary.

António José Seguro: https://derivative.polymarket.com/will-seguro-flip-mendes-in-portugal-presidential-election
João Cotrim Figueiredo: https://derivative.polymarket.com/will-figueiredo-flip-mendes-in-portugal-presidential-election
Henrique Gouveia e Melo: https://derivative.polymarket.com/will-henrique-gouveia-e-melo-flip-mendes-in-portugal-presidential-election
André Ventura: https://derivative.polymarket.com/will-ventura-flip-mendes-in-portugal-presidential-election

Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.
音量
$10,123
終了日
2026/01/17
マーケット開始日
Jan 6, 2026, 5:58 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if someone other than Luís Marques Mendes becomes the favorite in the "Portugal Presidential Election" (https://polymarket.com/event/portugal-presidential-election?) for any four-hour period ending by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Someone other than Luís Marques Mendes will be considered to have become the favorite for any four-hour period if another individual is ahead of Luís Marques Mendes in a majority of individual minutes during a qualifying time period. A tie in the number of minutes will not suffice. If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the "Portugal Presidential Election" market, which can be viewed using the below listed bar charts or through the “Resolution” tab with the time set to show the two-hour period window. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. More tracking links will be provided if necessary. António José Seguro: https://derivative.polymarket.com/will-seguro-flip-mendes-in-portugal-presidential-election João Cotrim Figueiredo: https://derivative.polymarket.com/will-figueiredo-flip-mendes-in-portugal-presidential-election Henrique Gouveia e Melo: https://derivative.polymarket.com/will-henrique-gouveia-e-melo-flip-mendes-in-portugal-presidential-election André Ventura: https://derivative.polymarket.com/will-ventura-flip-mendes-in-portugal-presidential-election Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.

提案された結果: Yes

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: Yes

This market will resolve to “Yes” if someone other than Luís Marques Mendes becomes the favorite in the "Portugal Presidential Election" (https://polymarket.com/event/portugal-presidential-election?) for any four-hour period ending by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Someone other than Luís Marques Mendes will be considered to have become the favorite for any four-hour period if another individual is ahead of Luís Marques Mendes in a majority of individual minutes during a qualifying time period. A tie in the number of minutes will not suffice. If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the "Portugal Presidential Election" market, which can be viewed using the below listed bar charts or through the “Resolution” tab with the time set to show the two-hour period window. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. More tracking links will be provided if necessary. António José Seguro: https://derivative.polymarket.com/will-seguro-flip-mendes-in-portugal-presidential-election João Cotrim Figueiredo: https://derivative.polymarket.com/will-figueiredo-flip-mendes-in-portugal-presidential-election Henrique Gouveia e Melo: https://derivative.polymarket.com/will-henrique-gouveia-e-melo-flip-mendes-in-portugal-presidential-election André Ventura: https://derivative.polymarket.com/will-ventura-flip-mendes-in-portugal-presidential-election Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if someone other than Luís Marques Mendes becomes the favorite in the "Portugal Presidential Election" (https://polymarket.com/event/portugal-presidential-election?) for any four-hour period ending by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Someone other than Luís Marques Mendes will be considered to have become the favorite for any four-hour period if another individual is ahead of Luís Marques Mendes in a majority of individual minutes during a qualifying time period.

A tie in the number of minutes will not suffice.

If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome.

The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the "Portugal Presidential Election" market, which can be viewed using the below listed bar charts or through the “Resolution” tab with the time set to show the two-hour period window. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. More tracking links will be provided if necessary.

António José Seguro: https://derivative.polymarket.com/will-seguro-flip-mendes-in-portugal-presidential-election
João Cotrim Figueiredo: https://derivative.polymarket.com/will-figueiredo-flip-mendes-in-portugal-presidential-election
Henrique Gouveia e Melo: https://derivative.polymarket.com/will-henrique-gouveia-e-melo-flip-mendes-in-portugal-presidential-election
André Ventura: https://derivative.polymarket.com/will-ventura-flip-mendes-in-portugal-presidential-election

Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.
音量
$10,123
終了日
2026/01/17
マーケット開始日
Jan 6, 2026, 5:58 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if someone other than Luís Marques Mendes becomes the favorite in the "Portugal Presidential Election" (https://polymarket.com/event/portugal-presidential-election?) for any four-hour period ending by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Someone other than Luís Marques Mendes will be considered to have become the favorite for any four-hour period if another individual is ahead of Luís Marques Mendes in a majority of individual minutes during a qualifying time period. A tie in the number of minutes will not suffice. If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the "Portugal Presidential Election" market, which can be viewed using the below listed bar charts or through the “Resolution” tab with the time set to show the two-hour period window. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. More tracking links will be provided if necessary. António José Seguro: https://derivative.polymarket.com/will-seguro-flip-mendes-in-portugal-presidential-election João Cotrim Figueiredo: https://derivative.polymarket.com/will-figueiredo-flip-mendes-in-portugal-presidential-election Henrique Gouveia e Melo: https://derivative.polymarket.com/will-henrique-gouveia-e-melo-flip-mendes-in-portugal-presidential-election André Ventura: https://derivative.polymarket.com/will-ventura-flip-mendes-in-portugal-presidential-election Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.

提案された結果: Yes

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: Yes

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「Will Mendes be flipped for Portugal Presidential Election by...?」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「January 9」で100%、次いで「January 17」が100%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Will Mendes be flipped for Portugal Presidential Election by...?」は$10.1Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Jan 6, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Will Mendes be flipped for Portugal Presidential Election by...?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Will Mendes be flipped for Portugal Presidential Election by...?」の現在のフロントランナーは「January 9」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「January 17」で100%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Will Mendes be flipped for Portugal Presidential Election by...?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。