Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a razor-thin lead for Jeff Bezos at 49% implied probability to acquire the Seattle Seahawks, just ahead of Larry Ellison's 45.5%, following the Paul G. Allen estate's formal sale process launch on February 18—mere weeks after the franchise's Super Bowl LX triumph inflated its valuation toward $10-11 billion. Bezos' longstanding local roots through Amazon's Seattle headquarters and prior NFL pursuit (passing on the Commanders) give him a slight edge, but Ellison's comparable $200B+ fortune, sports investments like Hawaiian island Lanai, and aggressive bidding history keep the race deadlocked amid no public bids or frontrunners. Mariners owner John Stanton's 27.5% trails on regional appeal, while celebrity locals like LeBron James, Marshawn Lynch, Macklemore, Bill Gates, and Steve Ballmer hover lower as traders factor lengthy NFL approval and potential ownership groups.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日ジェフ・ベゾス 51%
マックルモア 10.8%
ビル・ゲイツ 10%
スティーブ・バルマー 10%
$61,679 Vol.
$61,679 Vol.
ジェフ・ベゾス
51%
マックルモア
11%
ビル・ゲイツ
10%
スティーブ・バルマー
10%
レブロン・ジェームズ
6%
マーショーン・リンチ
11%
ラリー・エリソン
42%
ジョン・スタントン
28%
ジェフ・ベゾス 51%
マックルモア 10.8%
ビル・ゲイツ 10%
スティーブ・バルマー 10%
$61,679 Vol.
$61,679 Vol.
ジェフ・ベゾス
51%
マックルモア
11%
ビル・ゲイツ
10%
スティーブ・バルマー
10%
レブロン・ジェームズ
6%
マーショーン・リンチ
11%
ラリー・エリソン
42%
ジョン・スタントン
28%
If no sale is announced before this time, this market will resolve to "Other".
For the purposes of this market, an announcement must confirm that the Paul G. Allen estate (also known as Vulcan LLC) has reached a binding agreement to sell a majority interest in the team. Minority sales will not be considered.
If a sale is announced to an individual that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If two or more listed individuals are announced as joint owners or part of the same ownership group, this market will resolve to the individual announced as the controlling owner.
If two or more listed individuals are announced as the controlling owners, this market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
For the purposes of this market, the completion (closing) of the sale is not required.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the National Football League or the Seattle Seahawks. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日: Feb 4, 2026, 1:24 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no sale is announced before this time, this market will resolve to "Other".
For the purposes of this market, an announcement must confirm that the Paul G. Allen estate (also known as Vulcan LLC) has reached a binding agreement to sell a majority interest in the team. Minority sales will not be considered.
If a sale is announced to an individual that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If two or more listed individuals are announced as joint owners or part of the same ownership group, this market will resolve to the individual announced as the controlling owner.
If two or more listed individuals are announced as the controlling owners, this market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
For the purposes of this market, the completion (closing) of the sale is not required.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the National Football League or the Seattle Seahawks. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a razor-thin lead for Jeff Bezos at 49% implied probability to acquire the Seattle Seahawks, just ahead of Larry Ellison's 45.5%, following the Paul G. Allen estate's formal sale process launch on February 18—mere weeks after the franchise's Super Bowl LX triumph inflated its valuation toward $10-11 billion. Bezos' longstanding local roots through Amazon's Seattle headquarters and prior NFL pursuit (passing on the Commanders) give him a slight edge, but Ellison's comparable $200B+ fortune, sports investments like Hawaiian island Lanai, and aggressive bidding history keep the race deadlocked amid no public bids or frontrunners. Mariners owner John Stanton's 27.5% trails on regional appeal, while celebrity locals like LeBron James, Marshawn Lynch, Macklemore, Bill Gates, and Steve Ballmer hover lower as traders factor lengthy NFL approval and potential ownership groups.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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