Trader consensus heavily favors Europe at 69.5% implied probability to claim the 2026 FIFA World Cup, driven by UEFA's historical dominance—12 titles including four of the last six—and Spain's commanding Euro 2024 victory, which highlighted the continent's depth in talent from powerhouses like France, England, Germany, and Portugal amid ongoing Nations League action. South America trails at 21.5%, buoyed by Argentina's back-to-back Copa América triumphs in 2024 and 2021, plus their 2022 World Cup win, though CONMEBOL qualifying shows Brazil's shaky start with recent draws. Africa's 4% reflects Morocco's semifinal run in 2022 and Olympic silver, but limited depth persists; North America (2.4%), Asia (2.1%), and Oceania (0.4%) face steep barriers despite expanded 48-team format and host boosts for CONCACAF, as no non-UEFA/CONMEBOL side has ever won.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日ヨーロッパ 70%
南米 22%
アフリカ 4.0%
北米 2.4%
$1,299,419 Vol.
$1,299,419 Vol.
ヨーロッパ
70%
南米
22%
アフリカ
4%
北米
2%
アジア
2%
オセアニア
<1%
ヨーロッパ 70%
南米 22%
アフリカ 4.0%
北米 2.4%
$1,299,419 Vol.
$1,299,419 Vol.
ヨーロッパ
$39,791 Vol.
70%
南米
$21,280 Vol.
22%
アフリカ
$909,139 Vol.
4%
北米
$156,384 Vol.
2%
アジア
$0 Vol.
2%
オセアニア
$172,830 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the continent of the country that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for June 11-July 19, 2026.
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors Europe at 69.5% implied probability to claim the 2026 FIFA World Cup, driven by UEFA's historical dominance—12 titles including four of the last six—and Spain's commanding Euro 2024 victory, which highlighted the continent's depth in talent from powerhouses like France, England, Germany, and Portugal amid ongoing Nations League action. South America trails at 21.5%, buoyed by Argentina's back-to-back Copa América triumphs in 2024 and 2021, plus their 2022 World Cup win, though CONMEBOL qualifying shows Brazil's shaky start with recent draws. Africa's 4% reflects Morocco's semifinal run in 2022 and Olympic silver, but limited depth persists; North America (2.4%), Asia (2.1%), and Oceania (0.4%) face steep barriers despite expanded 48-team format and host boosts for CONCACAF, as no non-UEFA/CONMEBOL side has ever won.
This market will resolve to the continent of the country that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for June 11-July 19, 2026.
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Dec 8, 2025, 3:32 PM ET
音量
$1,299,419マーケット開始日
Dec 8, 2025, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the continent of the country that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for June 11-July 19, 2026.
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors Europe at 69.5% implied probability to claim the 2026 FIFA World Cup, driven by UEFA's historical dominance—12 titles including four of the last six—and Spain's commanding Euro 2024 victory, which highlighted the continent's depth in talent from powerhouses like France, England, Germany, and Portugal amid ongoing Nations League action. South America trails at 21.5%, buoyed by Argentina's back-to-back Copa América triumphs in 2024 and 2021, plus their 2022 World Cup win, though CONMEBOL qualifying shows Brazil's shaky start with recent draws. Africa's 4% reflects Morocco's semifinal run in 2022 and Olympic silver, but limited depth persists; North America (2.4%), Asia (2.1%), and Oceania (0.4%) face steep barriers despite expanded 48-team format and host boosts for CONCACAF, as no non-UEFA/CONMEBOL side has ever won.
This market will resolve to the continent of the country that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for June 11-July 19, 2026.
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$1,299,419マーケット開始日
Dec 8, 2025, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Europe at 69.5% implied probability to claim the 2026 FIFA World Cup, driven by UEFA's historical dominance—12 titles including four of the last six—and Spain's commanding Euro 2024 victory, which highlighted the continent's depth in talent from powerhouses like France, England, Germany, and Portugal amid ongoing Nations League action. South America trails at 21.5%, buoyed by Argentina's back-to-back Copa América triumphs in 2024 and 2021, plus their 2022 World Cup win, though CONMEBOL qualifying shows Brazil's shaky start with recent draws. Africa's 4% reflects Morocco's semifinal run in 2022 and Olympic silver, but limited depth persists; North America (2.4%), Asia (2.1%), and Oceania (0.4%) face steep barriers despite expanded 48-team format and host boosts for CONCACAF, as no non-UEFA/CONMEBOL side has ever won.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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