$3,216,632 Vol.
Feb 13, 2026
オマーン
$2,718,220 Vol.
はい
トルコ
$72,161 Vol.
いいえ
イラン
$14,622 Vol.
いいえ
アメリカ合衆国
$14,469 Vol.
いいえ
エジプト
$17,066 Vol.
いいえ
サウジアラビア
$22,287 Vol.
いいえ
他国
$64,307 Vol.
いいえ
2月13日までに会談なし
$293,499 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve according to the country in which the next official diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place by February 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Official diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the US and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their government. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, meetings through a third-party relaying messages (not including translators), or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present and interacting with each other will not count.
If the next official meetings between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Another Country”.
If no qualifying meeting takes place by February 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by Feb 13”.
If a qualifying meeting occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on where the meeting begins.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve according to the country in which the next official diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place by February 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Official diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the US and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their government. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, meetings through a third-party relaying messages (not including translators), or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present and interacting with each other will not count.
If the next official meetings between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Another Country”.
If no qualifying meeting takes place by February 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by Feb 13”.
If a qualifying meeting occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on where the meeting begins.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Official diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the US and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their government. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, meetings through a third-party relaying messages (not including translators), or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present and interacting with each other will not count.
If the next official meetings between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Another Country”.
If no qualifying meeting takes place by February 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by Feb 13”.
If a qualifying meeting occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on where the meeting begins.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
作成日: Feb 3, 2026, 6:19 PM ET
音量
$3,216,632終了日
Feb 13, 2026作成日時
Feb 3, 2026, 6:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...提案された結果: はい
異議申し立て
提案された結果: はい
異議申し立て
最終結果: はい
$3,216,632 Vol.
オマーン
$2,718,220 Vol.
はい
トルコ
$72,161 Vol.
いいえ
イラン
$14,622 Vol.
いいえ
アメリカ合衆国
$14,469 Vol.
いいえ
エジプト
$17,066 Vol.
いいえ
サウジアラビア
$22,287 Vol.
いいえ
他国
$64,307 Vol.
いいえ
2月13日までに会談なし
$293,499 Vol.
いいえ
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
Frequently Asked Questions
"米国とイランはどこで対面しますか?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "オマーン" at 100%, followed by "トルコ" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.
As of today, "米国とイランはどこで対面しますか?" has generated $3.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 3, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.
To trade on "米国とイランはどこで対面しますか?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.
The current frontrunner for "米国とイランはどこで対面しますか?" is "オマーン" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "トルコ" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.
The resolution rules for "米国とイランはどこで対面しますか?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
Frequently Asked Questions