Trader sentiment for predictions on Keir Starmer's remarks at the next Prime Minister's Questions on October 23, 2024, centers on Labour's recent budget fallout, including backlash over winter fuel payment cuts and national insurance hikes for employers, which sparked a minor parliamentary rebellion among party MPs. Opposition leader Kemi Badenoch is expected to press Starmer on fiscal austerity and economic growth amid stagnant polls showing Labour's lead narrowing. Starmer's standard defenses—emphasizing "working people" protections and fiscal responsibility—have appeared in prior sessions, influencing yes/no odds on recurring phrases. Upcoming welfare bill votes in late October could sharpen attacks, while diplomatic updates on Ukraine or Middle East tensions may feature if breaking. Market odds capture crowd wisdom on these catalysts amid volatile Commons dynamics.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$41,837 Vol.
Mr Speaker 20+ times
78%
Mr Speaker 10+ times
99%
Iran 3+ times
85%
Ireland
34%
Scotland
35%
Police
67%
Abuse
14%
Reform
82%
Tory
73%
Epstein
15%
Trump
41%
$41,837 Vol.
Mr Speaker 20+ times
78%
Mr Speaker 10+ times
99%
Iran 3+ times
85%
Ireland
34%
Scotland
35%
Police
67%
Abuse
14%
Reform
82%
Tory
73%
Epstein
15%
Trump
41%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Keir Starmer says the listed term during the next Prime Minister's Question Time event he participates in. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no such Prime Minister's Question Time event happens by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If Starmer ceases to be Prime Minister for any length of time by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market is explicitly about scheduled events featuring Keir Starmer titled "Prime Minister's Question Time" (https://www.parallelparliament.co.uk/mp/keir-starmer/dept/cabinet-office/calendar). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of named, scheduled events will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 18, 2026, 5:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment for predictions on Keir Starmer's remarks at the next Prime Minister's Questions on October 23, 2024, centers on Labour's recent budget fallout, including backlash over winter fuel payment cuts and national insurance hikes for employers, which sparked a minor parliamentary rebellion among party MPs. Opposition leader Kemi Badenoch is expected to press Starmer on fiscal austerity and economic growth amid stagnant polls showing Labour's lead narrowing. Starmer's standard defenses—emphasizing "working people" protections and fiscal responsibility—have appeared in prior sessions, influencing yes/no odds on recurring phrases. Upcoming welfare bill votes in late October could sharpen attacks, while diplomatic updates on Ukraine or Middle East tensions may feature if breaking. Market odds capture crowd wisdom on these catalysts amid volatile Commons dynamics.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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