Polymarket traders price an 83% implied probability for Wells Fargo (WFC) to surpass consensus GAAP EPS of $1.58 in its Q1 2026 earnings release on April 14, reflecting the bank's streak of four straight quarterly beats—capped by a 6% EPS surprise in Q4 2025 at $1.76 versus $1.66 expected—and upbeat guidance for $50 billion in full-year net interest income, up roughly 5% from 2025 amid deposit growth and stabilizing Treasury yields. This skin-in-the-game consensus underscores resilient consumer lending margins and expense discipline, though potential credit quality pressures in a softening labor market could influence outcomes, with peer bank results from JPMorgan and others providing near-term context.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日はい
はい
If Wells Fargo releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
マーケット開始日: Mar 30, 2026, 8:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If Wells Fargo releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Polymarket traders price an 83% implied probability for Wells Fargo (WFC) to surpass consensus GAAP EPS of $1.58 in its Q1 2026 earnings release on April 14, reflecting the bank's streak of four straight quarterly beats—capped by a 6% EPS surprise in Q4 2025 at $1.76 versus $1.66 expected—and upbeat guidance for $50 billion in full-year net interest income, up roughly 5% from 2025 amid deposit growth and stabilizing Treasury yields. This skin-in-the-game consensus underscores resilient consumer lending margins and expense discipline, though potential credit quality pressures in a softening labor market could influence outcomes, with peer bank results from JPMorgan and others providing near-term context.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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