Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Tesla (TSLA) share price closing the week of May 4 in the $385-$390 range at a slight 50.5% implied probability, with adjacent bins tightly clustered around 50%, reflecting consolidation after a nearly 4% weekly gain to around $391 amid high trading volume. This positioning stems from Q1 2026 earnings on April 22 showing net income up 17% to $477 million (13 cents per share GAAP) versus expectations, bolstered by the first Tesla Semi truck entering high-volume production and over $500 million in revenue from Elon Musk-linked firms like SpaceX and xAI. EV sector headwinds, including Rivian's cash burn concerns and Tesla's heavy AI infrastructure spending, temper upside, creating a contested range; key swing factors include weekend macroeconomic data and risk appetite, with resolution imminent next week.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日<$360 48%
$360-$365 46%
$380-$385 46%
$395-$400 46%
新規
新規
2026/05/08
<$360
48%
$360-$365
46%
$365-$370
46%
$370-$375
46%
$375-$380
46%
$380-$385
46%
$385-$390
46%
$390-$395
46%
$395-$400
46%
$400-$405
46%
>$405
45%
<$360 48%
$360-$365 46%
$380-$385 46%
$395-$400 46%
新規
新規
2026/05/08
<$360
$0 Vol.
48%
$360-$365
$0 Vol.
46%
$365-$370
$0 Vol.
46%
$370-$375
$0 Vol.
46%
$375-$380
$0 Vol.
46%
$380-$385
$0 Vol.
46%
$385-$390
$0 Vol.
46%
$390-$395
$0 Vol.
46%
$395-$400
$0 Vol.
46%
$400-$405
$0 Vol.
46%
>$405
$0 Vol.
45%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Tesla (TSLA) share price closing the week of May 4 in the $385-$390 range at a slight 50.5% implied probability, with adjacent bins tightly clustered around 50%, reflecting consolidation after a nearly 4% weekly gain to around $391 amid high trading volume. This positioning stems from Q1 2026 earnings on April 22 showing net income up 17% to $477 million (13 cents per share GAAP) versus expectations, bolstered by the first Tesla Semi truck entering high-volume production and over $500 million in revenue from Elon Musk-linked firms like SpaceX and xAI. EV sector headwinds, including Rivian's cash burn concerns and Tesla's heavy AI infrastructure spending, temper upside, creating a contested range; key swing factors include weekend macroeconomic data and risk appetite, with resolution imminent next week.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
マーケット開始日： May 1, 2026, 6:16 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/05/08マーケット開始日
May 1, 2026, 6:16 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Tesla (TSLA) share price closing the week of May 4 in the $385-$390 range at a slight 50.5% implied probability, with adjacent bins tightly clustered around 50%, reflecting consolidation after a nearly 4% weekly gain to around $391 amid high trading volume. This positioning stems from Q1 2026 earnings on April 22 showing net income up 17% to $477 million (13 cents per share GAAP) versus expectations, bolstered by the first Tesla Semi truck entering high-volume production and over $500 million in revenue from Elon Musk-linked firms like SpaceX and xAI. EV sector headwinds, including Rivian's cash burn concerns and Tesla's heavy AI infrastructure spending, temper upside, creating a contested range; key swing factors include weekend macroeconomic data and risk appetite, with resolution imminent next week.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
音量
$0終了日
2026/05/08マーケット開始日
May 1, 2026, 6:16 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket prices Tesla (TSLA) share price closing the week of May 4 in the $385-$390 range at a slight 50.5% implied probability, with adjacent bins tightly clustered around 50%, reflecting consolidation after a nearly 4% weekly gain to around $391 amid high trading volume. This positioning stems from Q1 2026 earnings on April 22 showing net income up 17% to $477 million (13 cents per share GAAP) versus expectations, bolstered by the first Tesla Semi truck entering high-volume production and over $500 million in revenue from Elon Musk-linked firms like SpaceX and xAI. EV sector headwinds, including Rivian's cash burn concerns and Tesla's heavy AI infrastructure spending, temper upside, creating a contested range; key swing factors include weekend macroeconomic data and risk appetite, with resolution imminent next week.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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