Recent trading in Tesla shares near $436 has left the week-of-June-1 closing range highly contested, with each narrow $5 band from below $420 through above $465 carrying identical 49.5% implied probabilities. This flat distribution reflects ongoing volatility driven by mixed EV delivery trends, FSD subscription shifts, and broader risk appetite tied to Treasury yields and equity-market sentiment. Traders are balancing near-term support around recent lows against resistance near the $440–$450 zone, where modest analyst estimate revisions and any macro data releases next week could tilt resolution. The even pricing underscores the market’s assessment that no single catalyst yet dominates the short-term path.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日<$420 50%
$420-$425 50%
$425-$430 50%
$430-$435 50%
新規
新規
2026/06/05
<$420
50%
$420-$425
50%
$425-$430
50%
$430-$435
50%
$435-$440
50%
$440-$445
50%
$445-$450
50%
$450-$455
50%
$455-$460
50%
$460-$465
50%
>$465
50%
<$420 50%
$420-$425 50%
$425-$430 50%
$430-$435 50%
新規
新規
2026/06/05
<$420
$0 Vol.
50%
$420-$425
$0 Vol.
50%
$425-$430
$0 Vol.
50%
$430-$435
$0 Vol.
50%
$435-$440
$0 Vol.
50%
$440-$445
$0 Vol.
50%
$445-$450
$0 Vol.
50%
$450-$455
$0 Vol.
50%
$455-$460
$0 Vol.
50%
$460-$465
$0 Vol.
50%
>$465
$0 Vol.
50%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."Recent trading in Tesla shares near $436 has left the week-of-June-1 closing range highly contested, with each narrow $5 band from below $420 through above $465 carrying identical 49.5% implied probabilities. This flat distribution reflects ongoing volatility driven by mixed EV delivery trends, FSD subscription shifts, and broader risk appetite tied to Treasury yields and equity-market sentiment. Traders are balancing near-term support around recent lows against resistance near the $440–$450 zone, where modest analyst estimate revisions and any macro data releases next week could tilt resolution. The even pricing underscores the market’s assessment that no single catalyst yet dominates the short-term path.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
マーケット開始日： May 29, 2026, 6:03 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/06/05マーケット開始日
May 29, 2026, 6:03 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."Recent trading in Tesla shares near $436 has left the week-of-June-1 closing range highly contested, with each narrow $5 band from below $420 through above $465 carrying identical 49.5% implied probabilities. This flat distribution reflects ongoing volatility driven by mixed EV delivery trends, FSD subscription shifts, and broader risk appetite tied to Treasury yields and equity-market sentiment. Traders are balancing near-term support around recent lows against resistance near the $440–$450 zone, where modest analyst estimate revisions and any macro data releases next week could tilt resolution. The even pricing underscores the market’s assessment that no single catalyst yet dominates the short-term path.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
音量
$0終了日
2026/06/05マーケット開始日
May 29, 2026, 6:03 PM ETRecent trading in Tesla shares near $436 has left the week-of-June-1 closing range highly contested, with each narrow $5 band from below $420 through above $465 carrying identical 49.5% implied probabilities. This flat distribution reflects ongoing volatility driven by mixed EV delivery trends, FSD subscription shifts, and broader risk appetite tied to Treasury yields and equity-market sentiment. Traders are balancing near-term support around recent lows against resistance near the $440–$450 zone, where modest analyst estimate revisions and any macro data releases next week could tilt resolution. The even pricing underscores the market’s assessment that no single catalyst yet dominates the short-term path.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問