Tesla's Q1 2026 vehicle deliveries of 358,000 missed consensus estimates of 366,000 by 2.2%, triggering a 5.4% share price plunge to $360.59 on April 2 amid heightened concerns over softening demand, intensifying Chinese EV competition, and persistent margin erosion from price cuts. Polymarket traders reflect this tension with closely matched implied probabilities—24.5% for a weekly close below $340 versus 23.5% above $385—highlighting uncertainty in whether near-term downside momentum persists or rebounds on lingering optimism for autonomy advancements and energy storage growth. Key swing factors include elevated auto financing costs from persistent high interest rates and trading volume trends, with Q1 earnings on April 22 as the major post-week catalyst potentially clarifying revenue dynamics and forward guidance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日385ドル超 20%
340ドル未満 17%
$375～$380 14%
$345～$350 13%
新規
新規
2026/04/10
340ドル未満
17%
$340〜$345
8%
$345～$350
13%
$350～$355
10%
$355～$360
11%
$360～$365
11%
$365～$370
10%
$370～$375
11%
$375～$380
14%
$380-$385
11%
385ドル超
20%
385ドル超 20%
340ドル未満 17%
$375～$380 14%
$345～$350 13%
新規
新規
2026/04/10
340ドル未満
$0 Vol.
17%
$340〜$345
$5 Vol.
8%
$345～$350
$5 Vol.
13%
$350～$355
$144 Vol.
10%
$355～$360
$335 Vol.
11%
$360～$365
$5 Vol.
11%
$365～$370
$609 Vol.
10%
$370～$375
$5 Vol.
11%
$375～$380
$5 Vol.
14%
$380-$385
$0 Vol.
11%
385ドル超
$0 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."Tesla's Q1 2026 vehicle deliveries of 358,000 missed consensus estimates of 366,000 by 2.2%, triggering a 5.4% share price plunge to $360.59 on April 2 amid heightened concerns over softening demand, intensifying Chinese EV competition, and persistent margin erosion from price cuts. Polymarket traders reflect this tension with closely matched implied probabilities—24.5% for a weekly close below $340 versus 23.5% above $385—highlighting uncertainty in whether near-term downside momentum persists or rebounds on lingering optimism for autonomy advancements and energy storage growth. Key swing factors include elevated auto financing costs from persistent high interest rates and trading volume trends, with Q1 earnings on April 22 as the major post-week catalyst potentially clarifying revenue dynamics and forward guidance.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
マーケット開始日： Apr 3, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
音量
$1,112終了日
2026/04/10マーケット開始日
Apr 3, 2026, 6:02 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."Tesla's Q1 2026 vehicle deliveries of 358,000 missed consensus estimates of 366,000 by 2.2%, triggering a 5.4% share price plunge to $360.59 on April 2 amid heightened concerns over softening demand, intensifying Chinese EV competition, and persistent margin erosion from price cuts. Polymarket traders reflect this tension with closely matched implied probabilities—24.5% for a weekly close below $340 versus 23.5% above $385—highlighting uncertainty in whether near-term downside momentum persists or rebounds on lingering optimism for autonomy advancements and energy storage growth. Key swing factors include elevated auto financing costs from persistent high interest rates and trading volume trends, with Q1 earnings on April 22 as the major post-week catalyst potentially clarifying revenue dynamics and forward guidance.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
音量
$1,112終了日
2026/04/10マーケット開始日
Apr 3, 2026, 6:02 PM ETTesla's Q1 2026 vehicle deliveries of 358,000 missed consensus estimates of 366,000 by 2.2%, triggering a 5.4% share price plunge to $360.59 on April 2 amid heightened concerns over softening demand, intensifying Chinese EV competition, and persistent margin erosion from price cuts. Polymarket traders reflect this tension with closely matched implied probabilities—24.5% for a weekly close below $340 versus 23.5% above $385—highlighting uncertainty in whether near-term downside momentum persists or rebounds on lingering optimism for autonomy advancements and energy storage growth. Key swing factors include elevated auto financing costs from persistent high interest rates and trading volume trends, with Q1 earnings on April 22 as the major post-week catalyst potentially clarifying revenue dynamics and forward guidance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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