Tesla shares have surged over 50% since the U.S. election on optimism surrounding Elon Musk's ties to President-elect Trump, fueling trader bets on regulatory tailwinds for Full Self-Driving tech and Cybercab rollout. Current Polymarket odds imply a 65% probability of TSLA closing above $400 on March 24, reflecting consensus around sustained momentum amid fading recession fears and lower Fed rate cut expectations (now pricing just 25bps in March). Key risks include softening Q1 delivery data due March 31 and China EV competition, with traders eyeing $380 intraday support; a break above $420 could accelerate upside pre-Q1 earnings in late April. Market-implied volatility sits at 55%, underscoring event-driven swings.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$12,955 Vol.
$350
はい
$360
はい
$370
はい
$380
はい
$390
いいえ
$12,955 Vol.
$350
はい
$360
はい
$370
はい
$380
はい
$390
いいえ
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
マーケット開始日: Mar 23, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...提案された結果: はい
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: はい
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Tesla shares have surged over 50% since the U.S. election on optimism surrounding Elon Musk's ties to President-elect Trump, fueling trader bets on regulatory tailwinds for Full Self-Driving tech and Cybercab rollout. Current Polymarket odds imply a 65% probability of TSLA closing above $400 on March 24, reflecting consensus around sustained momentum amid fading recession fears and lower Fed rate cut expectations (now pricing just 25bps in March). Key risks include softening Q1 delivery data due March 31 and China EV competition, with traders eyeing $380 intraday support; a break above $420 could accelerate upside pre-Q1 earnings in late April. Market-implied volatility sits at 55%, underscoring event-driven swings.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問