Professora Dorinha (União Brasil) holds a modest edge over Vicentinho Júnior (PSDB) in the Tocantins gubernatorial runoff set for October 25, following the October 4 first round where both advanced after finishing with roughly 46% and 44% of valid votes respectively. Pre-election surveys from institutes including Paraná Pesquisas, Real Time Big Data, and Quaest consistently showed the pair in a technical tie or narrow Dorinha lead within margins of error, reflecting evenly divided voter preferences and limited separation among other registered candidates such as Laurez Moreira. Coalition alignments, regional turnout patterns, and final-week campaigning remain the primary variables that could widen or close the gap before ballots close.
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