Polymarket traders price a 65.5% implied probability that T-Mobile US (TMUS) will beat Q1 2026 GAAP EPS consensus of $1.98, driven by the company's track record of surpassing estimates in three of the past four quarters, including a narrow Q3 2025 beat and robust Q4 adjusted EPS despite a GAAP miss. Q4 postpaid phone net additions of 962,000—the highest among major U.S. carriers—signaled sustained subscriber momentum and service revenue growth exceeding 10%, fueling recent analyst upgrades from Morgan Stanley and KeyBanc citing industry-leading account expansion. Downward revisions from $2.66 to $1.98 reflect seasonal Q1 pressures, yet skin-in-the-game consensus anticipates another outperformance ahead of the April 28 release.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/04/23
新規
新規
2026/04/23
As of market creation, T-Mobile US is estimated to release earnings on April 23, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for T-Mobile US's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $2.01 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if T-Mobile US reports GAAP EPS greater than $2.01 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If T-Mobile US releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Polymarket traders price a 65.5% implied probability that T-Mobile US (TMUS) will beat Q1 2026 GAAP EPS consensus of $1.98, driven by the company's track record of surpassing estimates in three of the past four quarters, including a narrow Q3 2025 beat and robust Q4 adjusted EPS despite a GAAP miss. Q4 postpaid phone net additions of 962,000—the highest among major U.S. carriers—signaled sustained subscriber momentum and service revenue growth exceeding 10%, fueling recent analyst upgrades from Morgan Stanley and KeyBanc citing industry-leading account expansion. Downward revisions from $2.66 to $1.98 reflect seasonal Q1 pressures, yet skin-in-the-game consensus anticipates another outperformance ahead of the April 28 release.
As of market creation, T-Mobile US is estimated to release earnings on April 23, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for T-Mobile US's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $2.01 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if T-Mobile US reports GAAP EPS greater than $2.01 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If T-Mobile US releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
If T-Mobile US releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
マーケット開始日： Apr 10, 2026, 4:55 PM ET
音量
$3,697終了日
2026/04/23マーケット開始日
Apr 10, 2026, 4:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...As of market creation, T-Mobile US is estimated to release earnings on April 23, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for T-Mobile US's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $2.01 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if T-Mobile US reports GAAP EPS greater than $2.01 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If T-Mobile US releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Polymarket traders price a 65.5% implied probability that T-Mobile US (TMUS) will beat Q1 2026 GAAP EPS consensus of $1.98, driven by the company's track record of surpassing estimates in three of the past four quarters, including a narrow Q3 2025 beat and robust Q4 adjusted EPS despite a GAAP miss. Q4 postpaid phone net additions of 962,000—the highest among major U.S. carriers—signaled sustained subscriber momentum and service revenue growth exceeding 10%, fueling recent analyst upgrades from Morgan Stanley and KeyBanc citing industry-leading account expansion. Downward revisions from $2.66 to $1.98 reflect seasonal Q1 pressures, yet skin-in-the-game consensus anticipates another outperformance ahead of the April 28 release.
As of market creation, T-Mobile US is estimated to release earnings on April 23, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for T-Mobile US's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $2.01 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if T-Mobile US reports GAAP EPS greater than $2.01 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If T-Mobile US releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
If T-Mobile US releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
音量
$3,697終了日
2026/04/23マーケット開始日
Apr 10, 2026, 4:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Polymarket traders price a 65.5% implied probability that T-Mobile US (TMUS) will beat Q1 2026 GAAP EPS consensus of $1.98, driven by the company's track record of surpassing estimates in three of the past four quarters, including a narrow Q3 2025 beat and robust Q4 adjusted EPS despite a GAAP miss. Q4 postpaid phone net additions of 962,000—the highest among major U.S. carriers—signaled sustained subscriber momentum and service revenue growth exceeding 10%, fueling recent analyst upgrades from Morgan Stanley and KeyBanc citing industry-leading account expansion. Downward revisions from $2.66 to $1.98 reflect seasonal Q1 pressures, yet skin-in-the-game consensus anticipates another outperformance ahead of the April 28 release.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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