Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "The Drama" surpassing $10 million in its opening weekend, with 93% implied probability, driven by robust pre-sales tracking 12-15 million domestically—outpacing A24's "Materialists" debut—and a Certified Fresh 81% Rotten Tomatoes score from early reviews praising Zendaya and Robert Pattinson's chemistry in Kristoffer Borgli's twisted rom-com. Zendaya's "Challengers" opened to $15 million, fueling expectations for similar star-driven appeal amid Easter holiday uplift, despite competition from family blockbusters like "Super Mario Galaxy." Realistic upsets below $10 million could stem from divisive word-of-mouth, screen shortages favoring tentpoles, or softer walkups if audience scores dip post-premiere. Final tallies lock Sunday.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日"The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office
"The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office
>10m 93%
9-10m 2.2%
8-9m 2.0%
7-8m 1.7%
新規
新規
2026/04/06
<7m
1%
7-8m
2%
8-9m
2%
9-10m
2%
>10m
93%
>10m 93%
9-10m 2.2%
8-9m 2.0%
7-8m 1.7%
新規
新規
2026/04/06
<7m
$1,697 Vol.
1%
7-8m
$744 Vol.
2%
8-9m
$749 Vol.
2%
9-10m
$832 Vol.
2%
>10m
$4,631 Vol.
93%
This market will resolve according to how much "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 3 - April 5) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "The Drama" surpassing $10 million in its opening weekend, with 93% implied probability, driven by robust pre-sales tracking 12-15 million domestically—outpacing A24's "Materialists" debut—and a Certified Fresh 81% Rotten Tomatoes score from early reviews praising Zendaya and Robert Pattinson's chemistry in Kristoffer Borgli's twisted rom-com. Zendaya's "Challengers" opened to $15 million, fueling expectations for similar star-driven appeal amid Easter holiday uplift, despite competition from family blockbusters like "Super Mario Galaxy." Realistic upsets below $10 million could stem from divisive word-of-mouth, screen shortages favoring tentpoles, or softer walkups if audience scores dip post-premiere. Final tallies lock Sunday.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 3 - April 5) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
マーケット開始日： Mar 30, 2026, 5:45 PM ET
音量
$8,654終了日
2026/04/06マーケット開始日
Mar 30, 2026, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 3 - April 5) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "The Drama" surpassing $10 million in its opening weekend, with 93% implied probability, driven by robust pre-sales tracking 12-15 million domestically—outpacing A24's "Materialists" debut—and a Certified Fresh 81% Rotten Tomatoes score from early reviews praising Zendaya and Robert Pattinson's chemistry in Kristoffer Borgli's twisted rom-com. Zendaya's "Challengers" opened to $15 million, fueling expectations for similar star-driven appeal amid Easter holiday uplift, despite competition from family blockbusters like "Super Mario Galaxy." Realistic upsets below $10 million could stem from divisive word-of-mouth, screen shortages favoring tentpoles, or softer walkups if audience scores dip post-premiere. Final tallies lock Sunday.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 3 - April 5) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
音量
$8,654終了日
2026/04/06マーケット開始日
Mar 30, 2026, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "The Drama" surpassing $10 million in its opening weekend, with 93% implied probability, driven by robust pre-sales tracking 12-15 million domestically—outpacing A24's "Materialists" debut—and a Certified Fresh 81% Rotten Tomatoes score from early reviews praising Zendaya and Robert Pattinson's chemistry in Kristoffer Borgli's twisted rom-com. Zendaya's "Challengers" opened to $15 million, fueling expectations for similar star-driven appeal amid Easter holiday uplift, despite competition from family blockbusters like "Super Mario Galaxy." Realistic upsets below $10 million could stem from divisive word-of-mouth, screen shortages favoring tentpoles, or softer walkups if audience scores dip post-premiere. Final tallies lock Sunday.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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