Trader consensus on Palantir's week-of-August 3 closing share price reflects a closely contested market, with implied probabilities tightly clustered between 43.5% and 48% across ranges from $114-$116 through above $132. This narrow spread signals uncertainty in near-term momentum, driven by the stock's sensitivity to AI sector trends, commercial revenue growth, and elevated valuation multiples relative to peers. Recent earnings have highlighted expanding government and enterprise contracts, yet broader equity volatility, Treasury yield movements, and macroeconomic data releases continue to shape trader positioning. Upcoming catalysts such as economic releases or potential deal flow could shift sentiment and break the current deadlock in these market-implied odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$122-$124 48%
$130-$132 47%
$116-$118 46%
>$132 46%
<$114
43%
$114-$116
45%
$116-$118
46%
$118-$120
45%
$120-$122
44%
$122-$124
48%
$124-$126
45%
$126-$128
46%
$128-$130
44%
$130-$132
47%
>$132
46%
$122-$124 48%
$130-$132 47%
$116-$118 46%
>$132 46%
<$114
43%
$114-$116
45%
$116-$118
46%
$118-$120
45%
$120-$122
44%
$122-$124
48%
$124-$126
45%
$126-$128
46%
$128-$130
44%
$130-$132
47%
>$132
46%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.PLTR%2FUSD.
マーケット開始日: Jul 31, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.PLTR%2FUSD.
Trader consensus on Palantir's week-of-August 3 closing share price reflects a closely contested market, with implied probabilities tightly clustered between 43.5% and 48% across ranges from $114-$116 through above $132. This narrow spread signals uncertainty in near-term momentum, driven by the stock's sensitivity to AI sector trends, commercial revenue growth, and elevated valuation multiples relative to peers. Recent earnings have highlighted expanding government and enterprise contracts, yet broader equity volatility, Treasury yield movements, and macroeconomic data releases continue to shape trader positioning. Upcoming catalysts such as economic releases or potential deal flow could shift sentiment and break the current deadlock in these market-implied odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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