Pakistan's recent airstrikes into Afghanistan targeting Tehrik-i-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) militants, including operations in Khost and Paktika provinces earlier this month, have intensified cross-border tensions along the disputed Durand Line, with Taliban officials vowing retaliation and denying involvement in sheltering anti-Pakistan fighters. No diplomatic negotiations or de-escalation signals have emerged in the past 30 days, as Islamabad prioritizes counterterrorism amid rising TTP attacks domestically, while Kabul rejects border sovereignty claims. This entrenched stalemate, absent any official ceasefire talks or mediation efforts, underpins trader consensus at 97.5% for "No" by March 31. A sudden bilateral summit or third-party intervention could theoretically shift dynamics, though historical mistrust renders this improbable.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日はい
$125,290 Vol.
$125,290 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
はい
$125,290 Vol.
$125,290 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Pakistan and the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from the governments of Pakistan and the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement has been reached will suffice.Pakistan's recent airstrikes into Afghanistan targeting Tehrik-i-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) militants, including operations in Khost and Paktika provinces earlier this month, have intensified cross-border tensions along the disputed Durand Line, with Taliban officials vowing retaliation and denying involvement in sheltering anti-Pakistan fighters. No diplomatic negotiations or de-escalation signals have emerged in the past 30 days, as Islamabad prioritizes counterterrorism amid rising TTP attacks domestically, while Kabul rejects border sovereignty claims. This entrenched stalemate, absent any official ceasefire talks or mediation efforts, underpins trader consensus at 97.5% for "No" by March 31. A sudden bilateral summit or third-party intervention could theoretically shift dynamics, though historical mistrust renders this improbable.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Pakistan and the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from the governments of Pakistan and the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from the governments of Pakistan and the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement has been reached will suffice.
マーケット開始日： Feb 26, 2026, 5:55 PM ET
音量
$125,290終了日
Mar 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Feb 26, 2026, 5:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Pakistan and the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from the governments of Pakistan and the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement has been reached will suffice.Pakistan's recent airstrikes into Afghanistan targeting Tehrik-i-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) militants, including operations in Khost and Paktika provinces earlier this month, have intensified cross-border tensions along the disputed Durand Line, with Taliban officials vowing retaliation and denying involvement in sheltering anti-Pakistan fighters. No diplomatic negotiations or de-escalation signals have emerged in the past 30 days, as Islamabad prioritizes counterterrorism amid rising TTP attacks domestically, while Kabul rejects border sovereignty claims. This entrenched stalemate, absent any official ceasefire talks or mediation efforts, underpins trader consensus at 97.5% for "No" by March 31. A sudden bilateral summit or third-party intervention could theoretically shift dynamics, though historical mistrust renders this improbable.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Pakistan and the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from the governments of Pakistan and the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from the governments of Pakistan and the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement has been reached will suffice.
音量
$125,290終了日
Mar 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Feb 26, 2026, 5:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Pakistan's recent airstrikes into Afghanistan targeting Tehrik-i-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) militants, including operations in Khost and Paktika provinces earlier this month, have intensified cross-border tensions along the disputed Durand Line, with Taliban officials vowing retaliation and denying involvement in sheltering anti-Pakistan fighters. No diplomatic negotiations or de-escalation signals have emerged in the past 30 days, as Islamabad prioritizes counterterrorism amid rising TTP attacks domestically, while Kabul rejects border sovereignty claims. This entrenched stalemate, absent any official ceasefire talks or mediation efforts, underpins trader consensus at 97.5% for "No" by March 31. A sudden bilateral summit or third-party intervention could theoretically shift dynamics, though historical mistrust renders this improbable.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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