MrBeast's recent videos have consistently amassed 75-95 million views in their first week post-upload, fueling trader consensus at 71% implied probability for 80-90M on his next release, with 70-80M a close 28% trailing. This positioning stems from the past month's data on titles like "$1 vs $250,000,000 Private Island!" (launched October 26, hitting ~85M week 1) and "Lose 100 LBs, Win $250,000!" (~78M), reflecting steady YouTube algorithm favoritism for his high-stakes challenges amid 380M+ subscribers. Lower buckets languish below 1% due to no signs of viewership decline, though viral breakout potential or premiere hype could push toward 90M+; watch for next upload announcement, typically signaling within 1-2 weeks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
80-90M 72%
70-80M 26.9%
90M+ <1%
60-70M <1%
$916,746 Vol.
$916,746 Vol.
<40M
<1%
40-50M
<1%
50-60M
<1%
60-70M
<1%
70-80M
27%
80-90M
72%
90M+
1%
80-90M 72%
70-80M 26.9%
90M+ <1%
60-70M <1%
$916,746 Vol.
$916,746 Vol.
<40M
<1%
40-50M
<1%
50-60M
<1%
60-70M
<1%
70-80M
27%
80-90M
72%
90M+
1%
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Mar 16, 2026, 5:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...MrBeast's recent videos have consistently amassed 75-95 million views in their first week post-upload, fueling trader consensus at 71% implied probability for 80-90M on his next release, with 70-80M a close 28% trailing. This positioning stems from the past month's data on titles like "$1 vs $250,000,000 Private Island!" (launched October 26, hitting ~85M week 1) and "Lose 100 LBs, Win $250,000!" (~78M), reflecting steady YouTube algorithm favoritism for his high-stakes challenges amid 380M+ subscribers. Lower buckets languish below 1% due to no signs of viewership decline, though viral breakout potential or premiere hype could push toward 90M+; watch for next upload announcement, typically signaling within 1-2 weeks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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