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NYC Mayoral Dem Primary Mamdani MOV

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NYC Mayoral Dem Primary Mamdani MOV

12–13% 100.0%

<8% <1%

8–9% <1%

9–10% <1%

Polymarket

$2,815,125 Vol.

12–13% 100.0%

<8% <1%

8–9% <1%

9–10% <1%

Polymarket

$2,815,125 Vol.

<8%

$205,230 Vol.

No

8–9%

$155,981 Vol.

No

9–10%

$105,452 Vol.

No

10–11%

$718,799 Vol.

No

11–12%

$460,145 Vol.

No

12–13%

$411,522 Vol.

Yes

13%+

$757,996 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the ranked-choice voting (RCV) margin of victory for the listed candidate in the 2025 Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City, scheduled for June 24, 2025. For the purpose of resolving this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute percentage-point difference between the final-round vote share received by the listed candidate and the vote share received by the other candidate in the final RCV round. Final-round vote shares will be calculated by dividing each of the final two candidates’ vote totals by the combined total of their votes in that round. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If all listed candidates ate eliminated before the final round of RCV tabulation or do not receive the most votes in the final round, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the official certified results of the final RCV round as published by the New York City Board of Elections. If a recount is initiated prior to certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and results are certified. A recount initiated after certification will not affect market resolution.

This market will resolve according to the ranked-choice voting (RCV) margin of victory for the listed candidate in the 2025 Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City, scheduled for June 24, 2025.

For the purpose of resolving this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute percentage-point difference between the final-round vote share received by the listed candidate and the vote share received by the other candidate in the final RCV round. Final-round vote shares will be calculated by dividing each of the final two candidates’ vote totals by the combined total of their votes in that round.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If all listed candidates ate eliminated before the final round of RCV tabulation or do not receive the most votes in the final round, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the official certified results of the final RCV round as published by the New York City Board of Elections.

If a recount is initiated prior to certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and results are certified. A recount initiated after certification will not affect market resolution.
音量
$2,815,125
終了日
2025/07/31
マーケット開始日
Jun 24, 2025, 9:58 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the ranked-choice voting (RCV) margin of victory for the listed candidate in the 2025 Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City, scheduled for June 24, 2025. For the purpose of resolving this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute percentage-point difference between the final-round vote share received by the listed candidate and the vote share received by the other candidate in the final RCV round. Final-round vote shares will be calculated by dividing each of the final two candidates’ vote totals by the combined total of their votes in that round. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If all listed candidates ate eliminated before the final round of RCV tabulation or do not receive the most votes in the final round, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the official certified results of the final RCV round as published by the New York City Board of Elections. If a recount is initiated prior to certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and results are certified. A recount initiated after certification will not affect market resolution.

提案された結果: No

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: No

This market will resolve according to the ranked-choice voting (RCV) margin of victory for the listed candidate in the 2025 Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City, scheduled for June 24, 2025. For the purpose of resolving this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute percentage-point difference between the final-round vote share received by the listed candidate and the vote share received by the other candidate in the final RCV round. Final-round vote shares will be calculated by dividing each of the final two candidates’ vote totals by the combined total of their votes in that round. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If all listed candidates ate eliminated before the final round of RCV tabulation or do not receive the most votes in the final round, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the official certified results of the final RCV round as published by the New York City Board of Elections. If a recount is initiated prior to certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and results are certified. A recount initiated after certification will not affect market resolution.

This market will resolve according to the ranked-choice voting (RCV) margin of victory for the listed candidate in the 2025 Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City, scheduled for June 24, 2025.

For the purpose of resolving this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute percentage-point difference between the final-round vote share received by the listed candidate and the vote share received by the other candidate in the final RCV round. Final-round vote shares will be calculated by dividing each of the final two candidates’ vote totals by the combined total of their votes in that round.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If all listed candidates ate eliminated before the final round of RCV tabulation or do not receive the most votes in the final round, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the official certified results of the final RCV round as published by the New York City Board of Elections.

If a recount is initiated prior to certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and results are certified. A recount initiated after certification will not affect market resolution.
音量
$2,815,125
終了日
2025/07/31
マーケット開始日
Jun 24, 2025, 9:58 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the ranked-choice voting (RCV) margin of victory for the listed candidate in the 2025 Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City, scheduled for June 24, 2025. For the purpose of resolving this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute percentage-point difference between the final-round vote share received by the listed candidate and the vote share received by the other candidate in the final RCV round. Final-round vote shares will be calculated by dividing each of the final two candidates’ vote totals by the combined total of their votes in that round. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If all listed candidates ate eliminated before the final round of RCV tabulation or do not receive the most votes in the final round, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the official certified results of the final RCV round as published by the New York City Board of Elections. If a recount is initiated prior to certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and results are certified. A recount initiated after certification will not affect market resolution.

提案された結果: No

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: No

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「NYC Mayoral Dem Primary Mamdani MOV」はPolymarket上の7個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「12–13%」で100%、次いで「<8%」が0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「NYC Mayoral Dem Primary Mamdani MOV」は$2.8 millionの総取引量を生み出しています(Jun 25, 2025のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「NYC Mayoral Dem Primary Mamdani MOV」で取引するには、このページに記載されている7個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「NYC Mayoral Dem Primary Mamdani MOV」の現在のフロントランナーは「12–13%」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「<8%」で0%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「NYC Mayoral Dem Primary Mamdani MOV」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。