Traders assign the highest implied probability to NVIDIA closing below $195 at 27% for the week of June 8, followed closely by the $200–205 and $205–210 ranges at 22% and 20%, reflecting balanced uncertainty in short-term price action. This tight clustering of outcomes stems from ongoing volatility in semiconductor shares, where recent trading volume and revisions to analyst estimates have failed to produce a clear directional bias. Macro factors such as Treasury yields and broader equity market sentiment continue to influence risk appetite for high-valuation tech names like NVDA, while fundamentals tied to AI demand and competitive positioning add further dispersion. With resolution imminent, any surprise in upcoming economic releases or sector-specific news could quickly shift probabilities across the contested buckets.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日<$195 27%
$200-$205 22%
>$240 20%
$205-$210 17%
<$195
27%
$195-$200
15%
$200-$205
22%
$205-$210
17%
$210-$215
14%
$215-$220
9%
$220-$225
8%
$225-$230
6%
$230-$235
11%
$235-$240
14%
>$240
20%
<$195 27%
$200-$205 22%
>$240 20%
$205-$210 17%
<$195
27%
$195-$200
15%
$200-$205
22%
$205-$210
17%
$210-$215
14%
$215-$220
9%
$220-$225
8%
$225-$230
6%
$230-$235
11%
$235-$240
14%
>$240
20%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
マーケット開始日: Jun 5, 2026, 6:04 PM ET
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Traders assign the highest implied probability to NVIDIA closing below $195 at 27% for the week of June 8, followed closely by the $200–205 and $205–210 ranges at 22% and 20%, reflecting balanced uncertainty in short-term price action. This tight clustering of outcomes stems from ongoing volatility in semiconductor shares, where recent trading volume and revisions to analyst estimates have failed to produce a clear directional bias. Macro factors such as Treasury yields and broader equity market sentiment continue to influence risk appetite for high-valuation tech names like NVDA, while fundamentals tied to AI demand and competitive positioning add further dispersion. With resolution imminent, any surprise in upcoming economic releases or sector-specific news could quickly shift probabilities across the contested buckets.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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