Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a razor-thin race atop the Nobel Peace Prize 2026 field, with Volodymyr Zelenskyy at 10.8% implied probability edging Yulia Navalnaya's 10.5% following his formal nomination last week by University of Oslo Professor Dag Øistein Endsjø, who praised Ukraine's defense of democracy against Russian aggression as a bulwark for European stability. Navalnaya holds steady via her persistent anti-Kremlin activism, carrying forward Alexei Navalny's legacy amid ongoing suppression. Donald Trump trails at 7.5% despite U.S. congressional backing, hampered by his divisive global image. Lower-tier contenders like Pope Leo XIV underscore scattered sentiment, with "Other" dominating as the Norwegian Nobel Committee's secretive process—culminating in an October announcement—leaves room for upsets from unforeseen humanitarian advances or diplomatic breakthroughs.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日ウォロディミル・ゼレンスキー 10.8%
ユーリヤ・ナワリナヤ 11%
ドナルド・トランプ 8%
教皇レオ14世 4.2%
$11,882,929 Vol.
$11,882,929 Vol.
Oct 10, 2026
ウォロディミル・ゼレンスキー
11%
ユーリヤ・ナワリナヤ
11%
ドナルド・トランプ
8%
教皇レオ14世
4%
国際司法裁判所
4%
タミム・ビン・ハマド・アル＝サーニー
4%
UNRWA
3%
グレタ・トゥーンベリ
3%
ナレンドラ・モディ
3%
イーロン・マスク
2%
チャーリー・カーク
2%
アントニオ・グテーレス
2%
習近平
2%
ジュリアン・アサンジ
2%
カーレド・マシャール
1%
ムハンマド・ビン・サルマン
1%
アフメド・アル＝シャラー
1%
レジェップ・タイイップ・エルドアン
1%
ウラジーミル・プーチン
1%
ベンヤミン・ネタニヤフ
1%
ウォロディミル・ゼレンスキー 10.8%
ユーリヤ・ナワリナヤ 11%
ドナルド・トランプ 8%
教皇レオ14世 4.2%
$11,882,929 Vol.
$11,882,929 Vol.
Oct 10, 2026
ウォロディミル・ゼレンスキー
$402,110 Vol.
11%
ユーリヤ・ナワリナヤ
$80,050 Vol.
11%
ドナルド・トランプ
$2,312,232 Vol.
8%
教皇レオ14世
$496,559 Vol.
4%
国際司法裁判所
$508,824 Vol.
4%
タミム・ビン・ハマド・アル＝サーニー
$353,963 Vol.
4%
UNRWA
$1,641,994 Vol.
3%
グレタ・トゥーンベリ
$936,782 Vol.
3%
ナレンドラ・モディ
$293,389 Vol.
3%
イーロン・マスク
$518,308 Vol.
2%
チャーリー・カーク
$540,375 Vol.
2%
アントニオ・グテーレス
$143,105 Vol.
2%
習近平
$762,296 Vol.
2%
ジュリアン・アサンジ
$339,499 Vol.
2%
カーレド・マシャール
$204,908 Vol.
1%
ムハンマド・ビン・サルマン
$566,195 Vol.
1%
アフメド・アル＝シャラー
$563,821 Vol.
1%
レジェップ・タイイップ・エルドアン
$403,258 Vol.
1%
ウラジーミル・プーチン
$498,116 Vol.
1%
ベンヤミン・ネタニヤフ
$317,824 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.
If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a razor-thin race atop the Nobel Peace Prize 2026 field, with Volodymyr Zelenskyy at 10.8% implied probability edging Yulia Navalnaya's 10.5% following his formal nomination last week by University of Oslo Professor Dag Øistein Endsjø, who praised Ukraine's defense of democracy against Russian aggression as a bulwark for European stability. Navalnaya holds steady via her persistent anti-Kremlin activism, carrying forward Alexei Navalny's legacy amid ongoing suppression. Donald Trump trails at 7.5% despite U.S. congressional backing, hampered by his divisive global image. Lower-tier contenders like Pope Leo XIV underscore scattered sentiment, with "Other" dominating as the Norwegian Nobel Committee's secretive process—culminating in an October announcement—leaves room for upsets from unforeseen humanitarian advances or diplomatic breakthroughs.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.
If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.
If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
マーケット開始日： Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ET
音量
$11,882,929終了日
Oct 10, 2026マーケット開始日
Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.
If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a razor-thin race atop the Nobel Peace Prize 2026 field, with Volodymyr Zelenskyy at 10.8% implied probability edging Yulia Navalnaya's 10.5% following his formal nomination last week by University of Oslo Professor Dag Øistein Endsjø, who praised Ukraine's defense of democracy against Russian aggression as a bulwark for European stability. Navalnaya holds steady via her persistent anti-Kremlin activism, carrying forward Alexei Navalny's legacy amid ongoing suppression. Donald Trump trails at 7.5% despite U.S. congressional backing, hampered by his divisive global image. Lower-tier contenders like Pope Leo XIV underscore scattered sentiment, with "Other" dominating as the Norwegian Nobel Committee's secretive process—culminating in an October announcement—leaves room for upsets from unforeseen humanitarian advances or diplomatic breakthroughs.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.
If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.
If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
音量
$11,882,929終了日
Oct 10, 2026マーケット開始日
Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a razor-thin race atop the Nobel Peace Prize 2026 field, with Volodymyr Zelenskyy at 10.8% implied probability edging Yulia Navalnaya's 10.5% following his formal nomination last week by University of Oslo Professor Dag Øistein Endsjø, who praised Ukraine's defense of democracy against Russian aggression as a bulwark for European stability. Navalnaya holds steady via her persistent anti-Kremlin activism, carrying forward Alexei Navalny's legacy amid ongoing suppression. Donald Trump trails at 7.5% despite U.S. congressional backing, hampered by his divisive global image. Lower-tier contenders like Pope Leo XIV underscore scattered sentiment, with "Other" dominating as the Norwegian Nobel Committee's secretive process—culminating in an October announcement—leaves room for upsets from unforeseen humanitarian advances or diplomatic breakthroughs.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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