Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 51–60 "This is March" tweets from CBS college basketball insider Jon Rothstein at 41% implied probability during the 2024 NCAA Tournament, aligning with his historical pace of 55–68 per March Madness (64 total in 2024). Recent Final Four chaos—including UConn's dominant run, NC State's Cinderella bid ending in buzzer-beaters, and Purdue's Zach Edey-led collapse—spurred a flurry of 12 tweets over the past week, pushing the mid-50s bin ahead amid 48 confirmed so far entering championship week. The 61–70 range (33%) gains from upset volatility like Houston's second-round exit, while ≤40 lags given consistent high-volume posting on overtime thrillers and bracket breakers; 71+ remains slim absent record bid drama. Remaining title game heightens expectations for 5–10 more.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日81+ 28%
51–60 24%
41–50 15.2%
61–70 13.0%
40回以下
26%
41–50
15%
51–60
41%
61–70
32%
71–80
1%
81+
28%
81+ 28%
51–60 24%
41–50 15.2%
61–70 13.0%
40回以下
26%
41–50
15%
51–60
41%
61–70
32%
71–80
1%
81+
28%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts will count.
Only posts live at the listed time will count toward the final tally. Deleted posts or posts that were reposted and later un-reposted will NOT count.
Text posted in images, memes, video, or any attachments will not qualify towards the final count.
Any plural or possessive forms of the listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: Th1s, for "this") will disqualify it from counting toward the final count.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: marchhh or mar., for ‘March’), will not count towards the final count, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. marchmadness mentions are not a compound word for "march").
Instances where both the quote and the quoted post contain the relevant phrase will qualify as one mention. (e.g., if John quotes a post which contains "This is March" with his own text containing "This is March", it will qualify as one mention.)
If the relevant data is unavailable by April 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be Jon Rothstein’s verified X account: @JonRothstein.
Please note, only the @JonRothstein verified X account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Jon Rothstein posts from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
マーケット開始日: Mar 12, 2026, 11:17 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 51–60 "This is March" tweets from CBS college basketball insider Jon Rothstein at 41% implied probability during the 2024 NCAA Tournament, aligning with his historical pace of 55–68 per March Madness (64 total in 2024). Recent Final Four chaos—including UConn's dominant run, NC State's Cinderella bid ending in buzzer-beaters, and Purdue's Zach Edey-led collapse—spurred a flurry of 12 tweets over the past week, pushing the mid-50s bin ahead amid 48 confirmed so far entering championship week. The 61–70 range (33%) gains from upset volatility like Houston's second-round exit, while ≤40 lags given consistent high-volume posting on overtime thrillers and bracket breakers; 71+ remains slim absent record bid drama. Remaining title game heightens expectations for 5–10 more.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問