Microsoft shares closed at 416.67 on June 5 after a 2.66% drop amid broad tech selling and chip-stock weakness, leaving the stock well below its 52-week high of 555.45 and reflecting ongoing investor caution over elevated AI infrastructure spending. With the week of June 8 beginning from this level, market-implied probabilities cluster tightly in the 400–430 range because traders price in limited near-term catalysts beyond routine volatility and any follow-through from recent sector rotation. Strong fiscal Q3 results from April—featuring 18% revenue growth and cloud momentum—provide a supportive base, yet forward-looking concerns about monetization pace and capital intensity continue to cap upside expectations in the immediate term.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$410-$420 23%
$420-$430 22%
$400-$410 19%
<$380 13%
新規
新規
2026/06/12
<$380
13%
$380-$390
9%
$390-$400
12%
$400-$410
19%
$410-$420
23%
$420-$430
22%
$430-$440
11%
$440-$450
8%
$450-$460
7%
$460-$470
9%
>$470
8%
$410-$420 23%
$420-$430 22%
$400-$410 19%
<$380 13%
新規
新規
2026/06/12
<$380
$0 Vol.
13%
$380-$390
$0 Vol.
9%
$390-$400
$0 Vol.
12%
$400-$410
$0 Vol.
19%
$410-$420
$0 Vol.
23%
$420-$430
$0 Vol.
22%
$430-$440
$0 Vol.
11%
$440-$450
$0 Vol.
8%
$450-$460
$0 Vol.
7%
$460-$470
$0 Vol.
9%
>$470
$5 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Microsoft (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."Microsoft shares closed at 416.67 on June 5 after a 2.66% drop amid broad tech selling and chip-stock weakness, leaving the stock well below its 52-week high of 555.45 and reflecting ongoing investor caution over elevated AI infrastructure spending. With the week of June 8 beginning from this level, market-implied probabilities cluster tightly in the 400–430 range because traders price in limited near-term catalysts beyond routine volatility and any follow-through from recent sector rotation. Strong fiscal Q3 results from April—featuring 18% revenue growth and cloud momentum—provide a supportive base, yet forward-looking concerns about monetization pace and capital intensity continue to cap upside expectations in the immediate term.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Microsoft (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
マーケット開始日： Jun 5, 2026, 6:11 PM ET
音量
$5終了日
2026/06/12マーケット開始日
Jun 5, 2026, 6:11 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the official closing price for Microsoft (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."Microsoft shares closed at 416.67 on June 5 after a 2.66% drop amid broad tech selling and chip-stock weakness, leaving the stock well below its 52-week high of 555.45 and reflecting ongoing investor caution over elevated AI infrastructure spending. With the week of June 8 beginning from this level, market-implied probabilities cluster tightly in the 400–430 range because traders price in limited near-term catalysts beyond routine volatility and any follow-through from recent sector rotation. Strong fiscal Q3 results from April—featuring 18% revenue growth and cloud momentum—provide a supportive base, yet forward-looking concerns about monetization pace and capital intensity continue to cap upside expectations in the immediate term.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Microsoft (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
音量
$5終了日
2026/06/12マーケット開始日
Jun 5, 2026, 6:11 PM ETMicrosoft shares closed at 416.67 on June 5 after a 2.66% drop amid broad tech selling and chip-stock weakness, leaving the stock well below its 52-week high of 555.45 and reflecting ongoing investor caution over elevated AI infrastructure spending. With the week of June 8 beginning from this level, market-implied probabilities cluster tightly in the 400–430 range because traders price in limited near-term catalysts beyond routine volatility and any follow-through from recent sector rotation. Strong fiscal Q3 results from April—featuring 18% revenue growth and cloud momentum—provide a supportive base, yet forward-looking concerns about monetization pace and capital intensity continue to cap upside expectations in the immediate term.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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