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MLB: Perfect Game thrown in 2026 season?

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MLB: Perfect Game thrown in 2026 season?

18% chance
Polymarket
NEW
18% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market will resolve “Yes” if any player throws a Perfect Game in any game during the 2026 MLB season (including postseason). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A “Perfect Game” is achieved when a pitcher throws a complete game without allowing a baserunner. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined if a Perfect Game occurred within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors no perfect game in the 2026 MLB season at 90.5% implied probability, reflecting the event's extreme rarity—only 24 in over 120 years of modern baseball, or roughly one per 10,000 games—and a nearly three-year drought since Domingo Germán's gem for the Yankees against Oakland in June 2023. No perfect games occurred in 2024 or 2025 amid rising offensive production, with league-wide batting averages hovering near .245 and home run rates elevated, pressuring pitching rotations and bullpens. Entering Opening Day with no standout aces on a historic tear or favorable weak-lineup matchups in spring training, the wisdom of crowds underscores the long odds against any starter navigating 27 flawless outs over 162 games across 30 teams.

Trader consensus heavily favors no perfect game in the 2026 MLB season at 90.5% implied probability, reflecting the event's extreme rarity—only 24 in over 120 years of modern baseball, or roughly one per 10,000 games—and a nearly three-year drought since Domingo Germán's gem for the Yankees against Oakland in June 2023. No perfect games occurred in 2024 or 2025 amid rising offensive production, with league-wide batting averages hovering near .245 and home run rates elevated, pressuring pitching rotations and bullpens. Entering Opening Day with no standout aces on a historic tear or favorable weak-lineup matchups in spring training, the wisdom of crowds underscores the long odds against any starter navigating 27 flawless outs over 162 games across 30 teams.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve “Yes” if any player throws a Perfect Game in any game during the 2026 MLB season (including postseason). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A “Perfect Game” is achieved when a pitcher throws a complete game without allowing a baserunner. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined if a Perfect Game occurred within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors no perfect game in the 2026 MLB season at 90.5% implied probability, reflecting the event's extreme rarity—only 24 in over 120 years of modern baseball, or roughly one per 10,000 games—and a nearly three-year drought since Domingo Germán's gem for the Yankees against Oakland in June 2023. No perfect games occurred in 2024 or 2025 amid rising offensive production, with league-wide batting averages hovering near .245 and home run rates elevated, pressuring pitching rotations and bullpens. Entering Opening Day with no standout aces on a historic tear or favorable weak-lineup matchups in spring training, the wisdom of crowds underscores the long odds against any starter navigating 27 flawless outs over 162 games across 30 teams.

Trader consensus heavily favors no perfect game in the 2026 MLB season at 90.5% implied probability, reflecting the event's extreme rarity—only 24 in over 120 years of modern baseball, or roughly one per 10,000 games—and a nearly three-year drought since Domingo Germán's gem for the Yankees against Oakland in June 2023. No perfect games occurred in 2024 or 2025 amid rising offensive production, with league-wide batting averages hovering near .245 and home run rates elevated, pressuring pitching rotations and bullpens. Entering Opening Day with no standout aces on a historic tear or favorable weak-lineup matchups in spring training, the wisdom of crowds underscores the long odds against any starter navigating 27 flawless outs over 162 games across 30 teams.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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「MLB: Perfect Game thrown in 2026 season?」の現在の確率は「Yes」に対して10%です。これはPolymarketコミュニティがこのイベントの発生確率を10%と現在評価していることを意味します。これらのオッズは実際の取引に基づいてリアルタイムで更新され、市場の期待を継続的に反映するシグナルを提供します。

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