Paul Skenes leads trader consensus at 23.5% implied probability for the 2026 NL Cy Young following his dominant 2024 rookie campaign—11 wins, 1.96 ERA, and 170 strikeouts in 133 innings for the Pirates—positioning him as an ace-in-waiting amid a thin NL rotation landscape. Cristopher Sanchez trails closely at 18.5% after his breakout All-Star season with the Phillies (3.32 ERA over 181.1 innings), solidifying his mid-rotation reliability. Jacob Misiorowski's 13.1% reflects skyrocketing prospect hype from Brewers affiliates, with triple-digit fastballs fueling comparisons to elite power arms. The bunched top tier underscores two-year uncertainty: recovering stars like Yamamoto (shoulder rehab) and Strider (post-Tommy John) compete against unproven talents like Nolan McLean and Hunter Greene, with injuries, workloads, and trade deadline moves poised to reshape the race.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日ポール・スキーネス 25%
クリストファー・サンチェス 16%
山本由伸 10%
大谷翔平 9.3%
$10,419 Vol.
$10,419 Vol.
ポール・スキーネス
25%
クリストファー・サンチェス
16%
山本由伸
10%
大谷翔平
9%
スペンサー・ストライダー
9%
ユーリー・ペレス
8%
ヘスス・ルサルド
8%
ザック・ウィーラー
7%
ニック・ピベッタ
6%
マイケル・キング
6%
ハンター・グリーン
9%
ブレイク・スネル
5%
タイラー・グラスノー
5%
ニック・ロドロ
5%
クリス・セール
4%
ジェイコブ・ミシオロウスキ
19%
ローガン・ウェッブ
2%
ノーラン・マクリーン
9%
フレディ・ペラルタ
10%
ブランドン・ウッドラフ
8%
スペンサー・シュウェレンバック
1%
ミッチ・ケラー
6%
ポール・スキーネス 25%
クリストファー・サンチェス 16%
山本由伸 10%
大谷翔平 9.3%
$10,419 Vol.
$10,419 Vol.
ポール・スキーネス
25%
クリストファー・サンチェス
16%
山本由伸
10%
大谷翔平
9%
スペンサー・ストライダー
9%
ユーリー・ペレス
8%
ヘスス・ルサルド
8%
ザック・ウィーラー
7%
ニック・ピベッタ
6%
マイケル・キング
6%
ハンター・グリーン
9%
ブレイク・スネル
5%
タイラー・グラスノー
5%
ニック・ロドロ
5%
クリス・セール
4%
ジェイコブ・ミシオロウスキ
19%
ローガン・ウェッブ
2%
ノーラン・マクリーン
9%
フレディ・ペラルタ
10%
ブランドン・ウッドラフ
8%
スペンサー・シュウェレンバック
1%
ミッチ・ケラー
6%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Feb 18, 2026, 10:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Paul Skenes leads trader consensus at 23.5% implied probability for the 2026 NL Cy Young following his dominant 2024 rookie campaign—11 wins, 1.96 ERA, and 170 strikeouts in 133 innings for the Pirates—positioning him as an ace-in-waiting amid a thin NL rotation landscape. Cristopher Sanchez trails closely at 18.5% after his breakout All-Star season with the Phillies (3.32 ERA over 181.1 innings), solidifying his mid-rotation reliability. Jacob Misiorowski's 13.1% reflects skyrocketing prospect hype from Brewers affiliates, with triple-digit fastballs fueling comparisons to elite power arms. The bunched top tier underscores two-year uncertainty: recovering stars like Yamamoto (shoulder rehab) and Strider (post-Tommy John) compete against unproven talents like Nolan McLean and Hunter Greene, with injuries, workloads, and trade deadline moves poised to reshape the race.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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