Trader sentiment for the May 2026 ISM Services PMI shows closely matched probabilities across multiple outcome ranges, with the 52.0–52.9 band leading at 48.0% and adjacent brackets between 35.5% and 46.5%. This tight clustering signals divided trader views on services-sector expansion amid mixed labor-market and inflation signals. Key differentiating factors include the trajectory of nonfarm payrolls, new orders, and supplier deliveries, which could tip the index above or below the 50 expansion threshold. Market-implied odds embed uncertainty ahead of the early-June release, with recent employment and consumer-spending data serving as primary swing variables that could shift consensus before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日55.0以上 94%
52.0~52.9 48%
49.0〜49.9 47%
50.0–50.9 47%
<47.0
22%
47.0~47.9
37%
48.0〜48.9
42%
49.0〜49.9
47%
50.0–50.9
47%
51.0~51.9
41%
52.0~52.9
48%
53.0〜53.9
42%
54.0~54.9
44%
55.0以上
94%
55.0以上 94%
52.0~52.9 48%
49.0〜49.9 47%
50.0–50.9 47%
<47.0
22%
47.0~47.9
37%
48.0〜48.9
42%
49.0〜49.9
47%
50.0–50.9
47%
51.0~51.9
41%
52.0~52.9
48%
53.0〜53.9
42%
54.0~54.9
44%
55.0以上
94%
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for May 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for May 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on June 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
マーケット開始日: May 28, 2026, 2:16 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for May 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for May 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on June 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for the May 2026 ISM Services PMI shows closely matched probabilities across multiple outcome ranges, with the 52.0–52.9 band leading at 48.0% and adjacent brackets between 35.5% and 46.5%. This tight clustering signals divided trader views on services-sector expansion amid mixed labor-market and inflation signals. Key differentiating factors include the trajectory of nonfarm payrolls, new orders, and supplier deliveries, which could tip the index above or below the 50 expansion threshold. Market-implied odds embed uncertainty ahead of the early-June release, with recent employment and consumer-spending data serving as primary swing variables that could shift consensus before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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