Iran tops AFC 2026 FIFA World Cup qualifying Group A unbeaten with 20 points from eight matches, securing strong advancement prospects, but trader consensus reflects geopolitical risks overshadowing on-pitch dominance. UAE's FA president declared last month they will refuse to play Iran in the October 15 Dubai qualifier—UAE home fixture—citing a sovereignty dispute over three Gulf islands, prompting AFC to affirm the match proceeds amid boycott threats. Broader tensions escalated after Iran's October 1 missile strikes on Israel, drawing calls from Israeli and US officials for FIFA to impose bans similar to Russia's, though FIFA President Infantino emphasized no discrimination. No confirmed sanctions or removals have materialized, leaving Iran's qualification path intact barring extraordinary intervention.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$169,847 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
3月31日
12%
April 30
27%
$169,847 Vol.
3月31日
$169,311 Vol.
12%
April 30
$535 Vol.
27%
Following US military strikes on Iran, FIFA has stated it will "monitor developments" regarding Iran's participation in the 2026 World Cup. You can read more about that here: https://www.espn.com/soccer/story/_/id/48060986/fifa-monitor-developments-iran-ahead-2026-world-cup.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran is officially disqualified, banned, withdrawn, or otherwise confirmed not to participate in the 2026 FIFA World Cup by March 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of resolution, a qualifying announcement made on or before March 31, 2026, will suffice, regardless of whether Iran ultimately participates in the tournament thereafter.
"Confirmed to not participate" is defined as an official announcement by FIFA, the Iranian Football Federation, or a governing body resulting in Iran's removal from the tournament, whether due to disqualification, withdrawal, suspension, or any other reason.
The resolution source will be official announcements from FIFA or the Iranian Football Federation, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Following US military strikes on Iran, FIFA has stated it will "monitor developments" regarding Iran's participation in the 2026 World Cup. You can read more about that here: https://www.espn.com/soccer/story/_/id/48060986/fifa-monitor-developments-iran-ahead-2026-world-cup.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran is officially disqualified, banned, withdrawn, or otherwise confirmed not to participate in the 2026 FIFA World Cup by April 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of resolution, a qualifying announcement made on or before April 30, 2026, will suffice, regardless of whether Iran ultimately participates in the tournament thereafter.
"Confirmed to not participate" is defined as an official announcement by FIFA, the Iranian Football Federation, or a governing body resulting in Iran's removal from the tournament, whether due to disqualification, withdrawal, suspension, or any other reason.
The resolution source will be official announcements from FIFA or the Iranian Football Federation, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iran tops AFC 2026 FIFA World Cup qualifying Group A unbeaten with 20 points from eight matches, securing strong advancement prospects, but trader consensus reflects geopolitical risks overshadowing on-pitch dominance. UAE's FA president declared last month they will refuse to play Iran in the October 15 Dubai qualifier—UAE home fixture—citing a sovereignty dispute over three Gulf islands, prompting AFC to affirm the match proceeds amid boycott threats. Broader tensions escalated after Iran's October 1 missile strikes on Israel, drawing calls from Israeli and US officials for FIFA to impose bans similar to Russia's, though FIFA President Infantino emphasized no discrimination. No confirmed sanctions or removals have materialized, leaving Iran's qualification path intact barring extraordinary intervention.
Following US military strikes on Iran, FIFA has stated it will "monitor developments" regarding Iran's participation in the 2026 World Cup. You can read more about that here: https://www.espn.com/soccer/story/_/id/48060986/fifa-monitor-developments-iran-ahead-2026-world-cup.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran is officially disqualified, banned, withdrawn, or otherwise confirmed not to participate in the 2026 FIFA World Cup by March 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of resolution, a qualifying announcement made on or before March 31, 2026, will suffice, regardless of whether Iran ultimately participates in the tournament thereafter.
"Confirmed to not participate" is defined as an official announcement by FIFA, the Iranian Football Federation, or a governing body resulting in Iran's removal from the tournament, whether due to disqualification, withdrawal, suspension, or any other reason.
The resolution source will be official announcements from FIFA or the Iranian Football Federation, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran is officially disqualified, banned, withdrawn, or otherwise confirmed not to participate in the 2026 FIFA World Cup by March 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of resolution, a qualifying announcement made on or before March 31, 2026, will suffice, regardless of whether Iran ultimately participates in the tournament thereafter.
"Confirmed to not participate" is defined as an official announcement by FIFA, the Iranian Football Federation, or a governing body resulting in Iran's removal from the tournament, whether due to disqualification, withdrawal, suspension, or any other reason.
The resolution source will be official announcements from FIFA or the Iranian Football Federation, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Mar 1, 2026, 3:03 PM ET
音量
$169,847終了日
Apr 30, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 1, 2026, 3:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Following US military strikes on Iran, FIFA has stated it will "monitor developments" regarding Iran's participation in the 2026 World Cup. You can read more about that here: https://www.espn.com/soccer/story/_/id/48060986/fifa-monitor-developments-iran-ahead-2026-world-cup.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran is officially disqualified, banned, withdrawn, or otherwise confirmed not to participate in the 2026 FIFA World Cup by March 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of resolution, a qualifying announcement made on or before March 31, 2026, will suffice, regardless of whether Iran ultimately participates in the tournament thereafter.
"Confirmed to not participate" is defined as an official announcement by FIFA, the Iranian Football Federation, or a governing body resulting in Iran's removal from the tournament, whether due to disqualification, withdrawal, suspension, or any other reason.
The resolution source will be official announcements from FIFA or the Iranian Football Federation, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Following US military strikes on Iran, FIFA has stated it will "monitor developments" regarding Iran's participation in the 2026 World Cup. You can read more about that here: https://www.espn.com/soccer/story/_/id/48060986/fifa-monitor-developments-iran-ahead-2026-world-cup.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran is officially disqualified, banned, withdrawn, or otherwise confirmed not to participate in the 2026 FIFA World Cup by April 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of resolution, a qualifying announcement made on or before April 30, 2026, will suffice, regardless of whether Iran ultimately participates in the tournament thereafter.
"Confirmed to not participate" is defined as an official announcement by FIFA, the Iranian Football Federation, or a governing body resulting in Iran's removal from the tournament, whether due to disqualification, withdrawal, suspension, or any other reason.
The resolution source will be official announcements from FIFA or the Iranian Football Federation, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iran tops AFC 2026 FIFA World Cup qualifying Group A unbeaten with 20 points from eight matches, securing strong advancement prospects, but trader consensus reflects geopolitical risks overshadowing on-pitch dominance. UAE's FA president declared last month they will refuse to play Iran in the October 15 Dubai qualifier—UAE home fixture—citing a sovereignty dispute over three Gulf islands, prompting AFC to affirm the match proceeds amid boycott threats. Broader tensions escalated after Iran's October 1 missile strikes on Israel, drawing calls from Israeli and US officials for FIFA to impose bans similar to Russia's, though FIFA President Infantino emphasized no discrimination. No confirmed sanctions or removals have materialized, leaving Iran's qualification path intact barring extraordinary intervention.
Following US military strikes on Iran, FIFA has stated it will "monitor developments" regarding Iran's participation in the 2026 World Cup. You can read more about that here: https://www.espn.com/soccer/story/_/id/48060986/fifa-monitor-developments-iran-ahead-2026-world-cup.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran is officially disqualified, banned, withdrawn, or otherwise confirmed not to participate in the 2026 FIFA World Cup by March 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of resolution, a qualifying announcement made on or before March 31, 2026, will suffice, regardless of whether Iran ultimately participates in the tournament thereafter.
"Confirmed to not participate" is defined as an official announcement by FIFA, the Iranian Football Federation, or a governing body resulting in Iran's removal from the tournament, whether due to disqualification, withdrawal, suspension, or any other reason.
The resolution source will be official announcements from FIFA or the Iranian Football Federation, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran is officially disqualified, banned, withdrawn, or otherwise confirmed not to participate in the 2026 FIFA World Cup by March 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of resolution, a qualifying announcement made on or before March 31, 2026, will suffice, regardless of whether Iran ultimately participates in the tournament thereafter.
"Confirmed to not participate" is defined as an official announcement by FIFA, the Iranian Football Federation, or a governing body resulting in Iran's removal from the tournament, whether due to disqualification, withdrawal, suspension, or any other reason.
The resolution source will be official announcements from FIFA or the Iranian Football Federation, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$169,847終了日
Apr 30, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 1, 2026, 3:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran tops AFC 2026 FIFA World Cup qualifying Group A unbeaten with 20 points from eight matches, securing strong advancement prospects, but trader consensus reflects geopolitical risks overshadowing on-pitch dominance. UAE's FA president declared last month they will refuse to play Iran in the October 15 Dubai qualifier—UAE home fixture—citing a sovereignty dispute over three Gulf islands, prompting AFC to affirm the match proceeds amid boycott threats. Broader tensions escalated after Iran's October 1 missile strikes on Israel, drawing calls from Israeli and US officials for FIFA to impose bans similar to Russia's, though FIFA President Infantino emphasized no discrimination. No confirmed sanctions or removals have materialized, leaving Iran's qualification path intact barring extraordinary intervention.
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