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Indian Election: NDA Margin of Victory

Market icon

Indian Election: NDA Margin of Victory

>20% 100.0%

15-20% 100.0%

10-15% 100.0%

5-10% 100.0%

Polymarket

$61,842 Vol.

>20% 100.0%

15-20% 100.0%

10-15% 100.0%

5-10% 100.0%

Polymarket

$61,842 Vol.

Market icon

>20%

$29,643 Vol.

No

Market icon

15-20%

$13,810 Vol.

No

Market icon

10-15%

$3,421 Vol.

No

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5-10%

$4,012 Vol.

No

Market icon

0-5%

$6,829 Vol.

Yes

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NDA Loss

$4,126 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to "Yes” if the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) wins the 2024 Indian General Election by greater than 20% of the popular vote compared with the second place party. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by the NDA and the second-place party. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the two parties receives by the sum of all votes cast in the election.

Political alliances such as I.N.D.I.A will be considered parties for the purposes of this market.

If no 2024 Indian General Election takes place, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based off the party composition of the NDA at the time of the official announcement of the election results, currently scheduled for June 4. Any subsequent changes to the NDA coalition will not be considered for this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of India, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
音量
$61,842
終了日
Jun 1, 2024
マーケット開始日
Apr 10, 2024, 6:54 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes” if the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) wins the 2024 Indian General Election by greater than 20% of the popular vote compared with the second place party. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by the NDA and the second-place party. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the two parties receives by the sum of all votes cast in the election. Political alliances such as I.N.D.I.A will be considered parties for the purposes of this market. If no 2024 Indian General Election takes place, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based off the party composition of the NDA at the time of the official announcement of the election results, currently scheduled for June 4. Any subsequent changes to the NDA coalition will not be considered for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of India, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

提案された結果: No

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: No

外部リンクに注意してください。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Indian Election: NDA Margin of Victory" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "0-5%" at 100%, followed by ">20%" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Indian Election: NDA Margin of Victory" has generated $61.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 10, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Indian Election: NDA Margin of Victory," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Indian Election: NDA Margin of Victory" is "0-5%" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is ">20%" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Indian Election: NDA Margin of Victory" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.