Market icon

How many "Squad" members will lose their primaries?

Market icon

How many "Squad" members will lose their primaries?

0 100.0%

2 100.0%

1 <1%

3 or more <1%

Polymarket

$384,197 Vol.

0 100.0%

2 100.0%

1 <1%

3 or more <1%

Polymarket

$384,197 Vol.

Market icon

0

$41,557 Vol.

No

Market icon

1

$36,623 Vol.

No

Market icon

2

$135,838 Vol.

Yes

Market icon

3 or more

$170,179 Vol.

No

"The Squad" refers to an informal group of eight Democratic members of the US House of Representatives known for progressive views. All are running for reelection in the 2024 US general election.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if no listed members of "The Squad" lose their 2024 primaries. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The list of members in The Squad are as follows:
-Greg Casar (TX-35, won his primary on March 5)
-Summer Lee (PA-12, primary on April 23)
-Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (NY-14, primary on June 25)
-Jamaal Bowman (NY-16, primary on June 25)
-Cori Bush (MO-1, primary on August 6)
-Rashida Tlaib (MI-12, primary on August 6)
-Ilhan Omar (MN-5, primary on August 13)
-Ayanna Pressley (MA-7, primary on September 3)

This market may immediately resolve to "No" if any squad member loses.

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from each relevant state's Democratic Primary, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
音量
$384,197
終了日
Sep 3, 2024
マーケット開始日
Apr 4, 2024, 12:54 PM ET
"The Squad" refers to an informal group of eight Democratic members of the US House of Representatives known for progressive views. All are running for reelection in the 2024 US general election. This market will resolve to "Yes" if no listed members of "The Squad" lose their 2024 primaries. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The list of members in The Squad are as follows: -Greg Casar (TX-35, won his primary on March 5) -Summer Lee (PA-12, primary on April 23) -Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (NY-14, primary on June 25) -Jamaal Bowman (NY-16, primary on June 25) -Cori Bush (MO-1, primary on August 6) -Rashida Tlaib (MI-12, primary on August 6) -Ilhan Omar (MN-5, primary on August 13) -Ayanna Pressley (MA-7, primary on September 3) This market may immediately resolve to "No" if any squad member loses. The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from each relevant state's Democratic Primary, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

提案された結果: No

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: No

外部リンクに注意してください。

Frequently Asked Questions

"How many "Squad" members will lose their primaries?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "2" at 100%, followed by "0" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "How many "Squad" members will lose their primaries?" has generated $384.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 4, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "How many "Squad" members will lose their primaries?," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "How many "Squad" members will lose their primaries?" is "2" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "0" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "How many "Squad" members will lose their primaries?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.