Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors fewer than three major space weather events from April 12-18, 2026, with <3 shares at 100% implied probability, backed by NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC) observations confirming zero qualifying incidents. No G3 (strong) or higher geomagnetic storms, S3 (strong) solar radiation storms, or R3 (strong) radio blackouts occurred, as solar activity stayed low after the last M1 flare on April 9 amid a mostly spotless solar disk and absent Earth-directed coronal mass ejections. A coronal hole high-speed solar wind stream prompted G2 (moderate) geomagnetic watches for April 17-18, but activity peaked below strong thresholds. Resolution is near-certain absent rare post-hoc reclassifications from preliminary data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日今週の主要な宇宙天気イベントはいくつありますか？ （ 4月12日～ 4月18日）
今週の主要な宇宙天気イベントはいくつありますか？ （ 4月12日～ 4月18日）
3未満 100.0%
3 <1%
4 <1%
5 <1%
$13,088 Vol.
$13,088 Vol.
2026/04/18
3未満
はい
3
いいえ
4
いいえ
5
いいえ
6
いいえ
7
いいえ
8以上
いいえ
3未満 100.0%
3 <1%
4 <1%
5 <1%
$13,088 Vol.
$13,088 Vol.
2026/04/18
3未満
$7,209 Vol.
はい
3
$734 Vol.
いいえ
4
$3,910 Vol.
いいえ
5
$256 Vol.
いいえ
6
$339 Vol.
いいえ
7
$277 Vol.
いいえ
8以上
$362 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve according to the number of geomagnetic storms, solar radiation storms, or radio blackouts with a severity level of 3 or greater which occur between April 12, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 18, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market will resolve immediately upon the occurrence of a qualifying event. Any later revisions or corrections will not be considered. Only the initial report of an ongoing event with multiple reports will qualify, unless the rating of the event is upgraded to a qualifying level from a non-qualifying level within this market's timeframe.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center under the heading marked "Current Space Weather Conditions". (https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#)
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors fewer than three major space weather events from April 12-18, 2026, with <3 shares at 100% implied probability, backed by NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC) observations confirming zero qualifying incidents. No G3 (strong) or higher geomagnetic storms, S3 (strong) solar radiation storms, or R3 (strong) radio blackouts occurred, as solar activity stayed low after the last M1 flare on April 9 amid a mostly spotless solar disk and absent Earth-directed coronal mass ejections. A coronal hole high-speed solar wind stream prompted G2 (moderate) geomagnetic watches for April 17-18, but activity peaked below strong thresholds. Resolution is near-certain absent rare post-hoc reclassifications from preliminary data.
This market will resolve according to the number of geomagnetic storms, solar radiation storms, or radio blackouts with a severity level of 3 or greater which occur between April 12, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 18, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market will resolve immediately upon the occurrence of a qualifying event. Any later revisions or corrections will not be considered. Only the initial report of an ongoing event with multiple reports will qualify, unless the rating of the event is upgraded to a qualifying level from a non-qualifying level within this market's timeframe.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center under the heading marked "Current Space Weather Conditions". (https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#)
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market will resolve immediately upon the occurrence of a qualifying event. Any later revisions or corrections will not be considered. Only the initial report of an ongoing event with multiple reports will qualify, unless the rating of the event is upgraded to a qualifying level from a non-qualifying level within this market's timeframe.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center under the heading marked "Current Space Weather Conditions". (https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#)
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
マーケット開始日： Apr 10, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
音量
$13,088終了日
2026/04/18マーケット開始日
Apr 10, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: はい
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: はい
This market will resolve according to the number of geomagnetic storms, solar radiation storms, or radio blackouts with a severity level of 3 or greater which occur between April 12, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 18, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market will resolve immediately upon the occurrence of a qualifying event. Any later revisions or corrections will not be considered. Only the initial report of an ongoing event with multiple reports will qualify, unless the rating of the event is upgraded to a qualifying level from a non-qualifying level within this market's timeframe.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center under the heading marked "Current Space Weather Conditions". (https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#)
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors fewer than three major space weather events from April 12-18, 2026, with <3 shares at 100% implied probability, backed by NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC) observations confirming zero qualifying incidents. No G3 (strong) or higher geomagnetic storms, S3 (strong) solar radiation storms, or R3 (strong) radio blackouts occurred, as solar activity stayed low after the last M1 flare on April 9 amid a mostly spotless solar disk and absent Earth-directed coronal mass ejections. A coronal hole high-speed solar wind stream prompted G2 (moderate) geomagnetic watches for April 17-18, but activity peaked below strong thresholds. Resolution is near-certain absent rare post-hoc reclassifications from preliminary data.
This market will resolve according to the number of geomagnetic storms, solar radiation storms, or radio blackouts with a severity level of 3 or greater which occur between April 12, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 18, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market will resolve immediately upon the occurrence of a qualifying event. Any later revisions or corrections will not be considered. Only the initial report of an ongoing event with multiple reports will qualify, unless the rating of the event is upgraded to a qualifying level from a non-qualifying level within this market's timeframe.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center under the heading marked "Current Space Weather Conditions". (https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#)
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market will resolve immediately upon the occurrence of a qualifying event. Any later revisions or corrections will not be considered. Only the initial report of an ongoing event with multiple reports will qualify, unless the rating of the event is upgraded to a qualifying level from a non-qualifying level within this market's timeframe.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center under the heading marked "Current Space Weather Conditions". (https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#)
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
音量
$13,088終了日
2026/04/18マーケット開始日
Apr 10, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: はい
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: はい
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors fewer than three major space weather events from April 12-18, 2026, with <3 shares at 100% implied probability, backed by NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC) observations confirming zero qualifying incidents. No G3 (strong) or higher geomagnetic storms, S3 (strong) solar radiation storms, or R3 (strong) radio blackouts occurred, as solar activity stayed low after the last M1 flare on April 9 amid a mostly spotless solar disk and absent Earth-directed coronal mass ejections. A coronal hole high-speed solar wind stream prompted G2 (moderate) geomagnetic watches for April 17-18, but activity peaked below strong thresholds. Resolution is near-certain absent rare post-hoc reclassifications from preliminary data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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