Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors fewer than three major space weather events from April 12-18, 2026, at 99.7% implied probability, backed by NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC) observations confirming no G3+ geomagnetic storms (Kp index of 7+), S3+ solar radiation storms, or R3+ radio blackouts—the standard thresholds for "major" events. Solar activity stayed low throughout the week, with only a G2 (moderate) geomagnetic storm watch for April 17-18 due to coronal hole high-speed stream effects, but actual conditions peaked below G3 levels, producing no significant impacts. This positioning reflects final SWPC data archived post-weekend, with minimal risk of revision unless rare post-analysis adjustments to geomagnetic indices occur.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日今週の主要な宇宙天気イベントはいくつありますか？ （ 4月12日～ 4月18日）
今週の主要な宇宙天気イベントはいくつありますか？ （ 4月12日～ 4月18日）
3未満 99.7%
6 <1%
7 <1%
3 <1%
$12,338 Vol.
$12,338 Vol.
2026/04/18
3未満
100%
3
<1%
4
<1%
5
<1%
6
<1%
7
<1%
8以上
<1%
3未満 99.7%
6 <1%
7 <1%
3 <1%
$12,338 Vol.
$12,338 Vol.
2026/04/18
3未満
$7,069 Vol.
100%
3
$424 Vol.
<1%
4
$3,610 Vol.
<1%
5
$256 Vol.
<1%
6
$339 Vol.
<1%
7
$277 Vol.
<1%
8以上
$362 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of geomagnetic storms, solar radiation storms, or radio blackouts with a severity level of 3 or greater which occur between April 12, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 18, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market will resolve immediately upon the occurrence of a qualifying event. Any later revisions or corrections will not be considered. Only the initial report of an ongoing event with multiple reports will qualify, unless the rating of the event is upgraded to a qualifying level from a non-qualifying level within this market's timeframe.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center under the heading marked "Current Space Weather Conditions". (https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#)
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors fewer than three major space weather events from April 12-18, 2026, at 99.7% implied probability, backed by NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC) observations confirming no G3+ geomagnetic storms (Kp index of 7+), S3+ solar radiation storms, or R3+ radio blackouts—the standard thresholds for "major" events. Solar activity stayed low throughout the week, with only a G2 (moderate) geomagnetic storm watch for April 17-18 due to coronal hole high-speed stream effects, but actual conditions peaked below G3 levels, producing no significant impacts. This positioning reflects final SWPC data archived post-weekend, with minimal risk of revision unless rare post-analysis adjustments to geomagnetic indices occur.
This market will resolve according to the number of geomagnetic storms, solar radiation storms, or radio blackouts with a severity level of 3 or greater which occur between April 12, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 18, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market will resolve immediately upon the occurrence of a qualifying event. Any later revisions or corrections will not be considered. Only the initial report of an ongoing event with multiple reports will qualify, unless the rating of the event is upgraded to a qualifying level from a non-qualifying level within this market's timeframe.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center under the heading marked "Current Space Weather Conditions". (https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#)
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market will resolve immediately upon the occurrence of a qualifying event. Any later revisions or corrections will not be considered. Only the initial report of an ongoing event with multiple reports will qualify, unless the rating of the event is upgraded to a qualifying level from a non-qualifying level within this market's timeframe.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center under the heading marked "Current Space Weather Conditions". (https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#)
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
マーケット開始日： Apr 10, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
音量
$12,338終了日
2026/04/18マーケット開始日
Apr 10, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of geomagnetic storms, solar radiation storms, or radio blackouts with a severity level of 3 or greater which occur between April 12, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 18, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market will resolve immediately upon the occurrence of a qualifying event. Any later revisions or corrections will not be considered. Only the initial report of an ongoing event with multiple reports will qualify, unless the rating of the event is upgraded to a qualifying level from a non-qualifying level within this market's timeframe.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center under the heading marked "Current Space Weather Conditions". (https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#)
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors fewer than three major space weather events from April 12-18, 2026, at 99.7% implied probability, backed by NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC) observations confirming no G3+ geomagnetic storms (Kp index of 7+), S3+ solar radiation storms, or R3+ radio blackouts—the standard thresholds for "major" events. Solar activity stayed low throughout the week, with only a G2 (moderate) geomagnetic storm watch for April 17-18 due to coronal hole high-speed stream effects, but actual conditions peaked below G3 levels, producing no significant impacts. This positioning reflects final SWPC data archived post-weekend, with minimal risk of revision unless rare post-analysis adjustments to geomagnetic indices occur.
This market will resolve according to the number of geomagnetic storms, solar radiation storms, or radio blackouts with a severity level of 3 or greater which occur between April 12, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 18, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market will resolve immediately upon the occurrence of a qualifying event. Any later revisions or corrections will not be considered. Only the initial report of an ongoing event with multiple reports will qualify, unless the rating of the event is upgraded to a qualifying level from a non-qualifying level within this market's timeframe.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center under the heading marked "Current Space Weather Conditions". (https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#)
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market will resolve immediately upon the occurrence of a qualifying event. Any later revisions or corrections will not be considered. Only the initial report of an ongoing event with multiple reports will qualify, unless the rating of the event is upgraded to a qualifying level from a non-qualifying level within this market's timeframe.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center under the heading marked "Current Space Weather Conditions". (https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#)
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
音量
$12,338終了日
2026/04/18マーケット開始日
Apr 10, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors fewer than three major space weather events from April 12-18, 2026, at 99.7% implied probability, backed by NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC) observations confirming no G3+ geomagnetic storms (Kp index of 7+), S3+ solar radiation storms, or R3+ radio blackouts—the standard thresholds for "major" events. Solar activity stayed low throughout the week, with only a G2 (moderate) geomagnetic storm watch for April 17-18 due to coronal hole high-speed stream effects, but actual conditions peaked below G3 levels, producing no significant impacts. This positioning reflects final SWPC data archived post-weekend, with minimal risk of revision unless rare post-analysis adjustments to geomagnetic indices occur.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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