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How many jobless claims during the week ending Feb 21?

Market icon

How many jobless claims during the week ending Feb 21?

21万~22万 100.0%

19万件未満 <1%

19万〜20万 <1%

20万~21万 <1%

Polymarket

$2,092 Vol.

21万~22万 100.0%

19万件未満 <1%

19万〜20万 <1%

20万~21万 <1%

Polymarket

$2,092 Vol.

19万件未満

$156 Vol.

いいえ

19万〜20万

$202 Vol.

いいえ

20万~21万

$232 Vol.

いいえ

21万~22万

$447 Vol.

はい

22万〜23万

$232 Vol.

いいえ

23万〜24万

$242 Vol.

いいえ

24万件以上

$581 Vol.

いいえ

This market will resolve according to the number of seasonally adjusted initial unemployment insurance claims (initial claims) made in the US during the week ending February 21, 2026, according to the Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report released by the U.S. Department of Labor (DOL) for the specified week.

The DOL Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report is typically released on Thursday at 8:30 ET, referencing data for the previous week (the week ending on the previous Saturday), with limited exceptions. Upon release, the report will be made available here: https://www.dol.gov/ui/data.pdf

This market may resolve as soon as the specified report with relevant data is released. If no Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report for the specified week is released within 14 calendar days of the date on which the reference week ended, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the DOL Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report released for the specified week (https://www.dol.gov/ui/data.pdf).
音量
$2,092
終了日
Feb 26, 2026
マーケット開始日
Feb 19, 2026, 3:31 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of seasonally adjusted initial unemployment insurance claims (initial claims) made in the US during the week ending February 21, 2026, according to the Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report released by the U.S. Department of Labor (DOL) for the specified week. The DOL Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report is typically released on Thursday at 8:30 ET, referencing data for the previous week (the week ending on the previous Saturday), with limited exceptions. Upon release, the report will be made available here: https://www.dol.gov/ui/data.pdf This market may resolve as soon as the specified report with relevant data is released. If no Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report for the specified week is released within 14 calendar days of the date on which the reference week ended, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be the DOL Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report released for the specified week (https://www.dol.gov/ui/data.pdf).

外部リンクに注意してください。

Frequently Asked Questions

"How many jobless claims during the week ending Feb 21?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "21万~22万" at 100%, followed by "19万件未満" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"How many jobless claims during the week ending Feb 21?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Feb 19, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "How many jobless claims during the week ending Feb 21?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "How many jobless claims during the week ending Feb 21?" is "21万~22万" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "19万件未満" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "How many jobless claims during the week ending Feb 21?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.