Current observations from the Japan Meteorological Agency confirm Tokyo's morning temperatures at 13–15°C under persistent overcast skies, limiting solar insolation and convective heating that would drive higher peaks. Short-term forecasts from JMA and global models like ECMWF project a daytime high of precisely 18°C at the official Haneda Airport station, aligning with early April climatological norms where average highs hover around 18°C amid spring's variable cloud patterns. Trader consensus reflects this strong evidence, pricing 18°C at 100% implied probability. A realistic challenge would require unexpected afternoon clearing and stronger southerly winds to boost temperatures toward 20°C, though model ensembles show low likelihood before evening cooldown. Final JMA readings will resolve the market by day's end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 4?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 4?
18°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$329,682 Vol.
$329,682 Vol.
2026/04/04
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
18°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$329,682 Vol.
$329,682 Vol.
2026/04/04
11°C or below
$4,691 Vol.
No
12°C
$6,314 Vol.
No
13°C
$4,184 Vol.
No
14°C
$9,821 Vol.
No
15°C
$13,406 Vol.
No
16°C
$24,500 Vol.
No
17°C
$47,991 Vol.
No
18°C
$142,514 Vol.
Yes
19°C
$30,860 Vol.
No
20°C
$30,980 Vol.
No
21°C or higher
$14,421 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current observations from the Japan Meteorological Agency confirm Tokyo's morning temperatures at 13–15°C under persistent overcast skies, limiting solar insolation and convective heating that would drive higher peaks. Short-term forecasts from JMA and global models like ECMWF project a daytime high of precisely 18°C at the official Haneda Airport station, aligning with early April climatological norms where average highs hover around 18°C amid spring's variable cloud patterns. Trader consensus reflects this strong evidence, pricing 18°C at 100% implied probability. A realistic challenge would require unexpected afternoon clearing and stronger southerly winds to boost temperatures toward 20°C, though model ensembles show low likelihood before evening cooldown. Final JMA readings will resolve the market by day's end.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Mar 29, 2026, 3:15 PM ET
音量
$329,682終了日
2026/04/04マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 3:15 PM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current observations from the Japan Meteorological Agency confirm Tokyo's morning temperatures at 13–15°C under persistent overcast skies, limiting solar insolation and convective heating that would drive higher peaks. Short-term forecasts from JMA and global models like ECMWF project a daytime high of precisely 18°C at the official Haneda Airport station, aligning with early April climatological norms where average highs hover around 18°C amid spring's variable cloud patterns. Trader consensus reflects this strong evidence, pricing 18°C at 100% implied probability. A realistic challenge would require unexpected afternoon clearing and stronger southerly winds to boost temperatures toward 20°C, though model ensembles show low likelihood before evening cooldown. Final JMA readings will resolve the market by day's end.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$329,682終了日
2026/04/04マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 3:15 PM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Current observations from the Japan Meteorological Agency confirm Tokyo's morning temperatures at 13–15°C under persistent overcast skies, limiting solar insolation and convective heating that would drive higher peaks. Short-term forecasts from JMA and global models like ECMWF project a daytime high of precisely 18°C at the official Haneda Airport station, aligning with early April climatological norms where average highs hover around 18°C amid spring's variable cloud patterns. Trader consensus reflects this strong evidence, pricing 18°C at 100% implied probability. A realistic challenge would require unexpected afternoon clearing and stronger southerly winds to boost temperatures toward 20°C, though model ensembles show low likelihood before evening cooldown. Final JMA readings will resolve the market by day's end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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