**Trader consensus at 100% for 87-88°F as the event's peak temperature reflects observed and forecasted conditions across the August 30–September 7 window at Black Rock Desert.** Pre-event National Weather Service guidance and nearby station data, including Lovelock Derby Field Airport maxima near 85°F on September 1, pointed to cooler-than-typical late-summer highs in the mid-to-upper 80s rather than the historical 95–104°F range. Seasonal transition into early September, combined with regional cooling patterns and limited daytime heating under variable winds, limited intensification. On-site playa measurements would need to exceed modeled values by several degrees—possible with localized thermal anomalies or revised post-event verification—to shift resolution outside this narrow band.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日87-88°F 100.0%
華氏86度以下 <1%
89～90°F <1%
91〜92°F <1%
$9,462 Vol.
$9,462 Vol.
2026/09/08
華氏86度以下
いいえ
87-88°F
はい
89～90°F
いいえ
91〜92°F
いいえ
93〜94°F
いいえ
95〜96°F
いいえ
華氏97度以上
いいえ
87-88°F 100.0%
華氏86度以下 <1%
89～90°F <1%
91〜92°F <1%
$9,462 Vol.
$9,462 Vol.
2026/09/08
華氏86度以下
$961 Vol.
いいえ
87-88°F
$4,043 Vol.
はい
89～90°F
$1,292 Vol.
いいえ
91〜92°F
$876 Vol.
いいえ
93〜94°F
$738 Vol.
いいえ
95〜96°F
$824 Vol.
いいえ
華氏97度以上
$729 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded during Burning Man 2026 at the Black Rock City Airport weather station. Temperatures are recorded in degrees Fahrenheit and will be rounded to the nearest whole degree when resolving this market, rounding up on a half (e.g., a reading of 90.5°F resolves as 91°F).
The resolution period is the full run of Burning Man 2026: August 30, 2026 through September 7, 2026. The market resolves based on the single highest temperature recorded across all of these days.
The resolution source is the "Black Rock City - Airport (88NV)" personal weather station (station ID KNVLOVEL7) on Weather Underground, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KNVLOVEL7. The relevant value is the highest temperature reading shown for the resolution period. The temperature for each day can be seen at the Summary table at "Weather History for KNVLOVEL7" on the Weather Underground station page.
This market will not resolve until data for the final day of the resolution period has been published on the resolution source. If the data for the final day of the resolution period has not been posted by September 8, 2026 3:59 AM ET, this market can be extended until September 10, 2026. If the resolution source does not report temperature data by September 10, 2026 3:59 AM ET, resolution will be based on the highest Air Temperature recorded at the 88NV weather station on top of the 88NV tower from August 30, 2026 through September 7, 2026 (https://dyacon.net/station.php?pid=ed10ad82e14ab7357d3ab2eadbb30b5b#_ABSTRACT_RENDERER_ID_20). **Trader consensus at 100% for 87-88°F as the event's peak temperature reflects observed and forecasted conditions across the August 30–September 7 window at Black Rock Desert.** Pre-event National Weather Service guidance and nearby station data, including Lovelock Derby Field Airport maxima near 85°F on September 1, pointed to cooler-than-typical late-summer highs in the mid-to-upper 80s rather than the historical 95–104°F range. Seasonal transition into early September, combined with regional cooling patterns and limited daytime heating under variable winds, limited intensification. On-site playa measurements would need to exceed modeled values by several degrees—possible with localized thermal anomalies or revised post-event verification—to shift resolution outside this narrow band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded during Burning Man 2026 at the Black Rock City Airport weather station. Temperatures are recorded in degrees Fahrenheit and will be rounded to the nearest whole degree when resolving this market, rounding up on a half (e.g., a reading of 90.5°F resolves as 91°F).
The resolution period is the full run of Burning Man 2026: August 30, 2026 through September 7, 2026. The market resolves based on the single highest temperature recorded across all of these days.
The resolution source is the "Black Rock City - Airport (88NV)" personal weather station (station ID KNVLOVEL7) on Weather Underground, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KNVLOVEL7. The relevant value is the highest temperature reading shown for the resolution period. The temperature for each day can be seen at the Summary table at "Weather History for KNVLOVEL7" on the Weather Underground station page.
This market will not resolve until data for the final day of the resolution period has been published on the resolution source. If the data for the final day of the resolution period has not been posted by September 8, 2026 3:59 AM ET, this market can be extended until September 10, 2026. If the resolution source does not report temperature data by September 10, 2026 3:59 AM ET, resolution will be based on the highest Air Temperature recorded at the 88NV weather station on top of the 88NV tower from August 30, 2026 through September 7, 2026 (https://dyacon.net/station.php?pid=ed10ad82e14ab7357d3ab2eadbb30b5b#_ABSTRACT_RENDERER_ID_20).
The resolution period is the full run of Burning Man 2026: August 30, 2026 through September 7, 2026. The market resolves based on the single highest temperature recorded across all of these days.
The resolution source is the "Black Rock City - Airport (88NV)" personal weather station (station ID KNVLOVEL7) on Weather Underground, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KNVLOVEL7. The relevant value is the highest temperature reading shown for the resolution period. The temperature for each day can be seen at the Summary table at "Weather History for KNVLOVEL7" on the Weather Underground station page.
This market will not resolve until data for the final day of the resolution period has been published on the resolution source. If the data for the final day of the resolution period has not been posted by September 8, 2026 3:59 AM ET, this market can be extended until September 10, 2026. If the resolution source does not report temperature data by September 10, 2026 3:59 AM ET, resolution will be based on the highest Air Temperature recorded at the 88NV weather station on top of the 88NV tower from August 30, 2026 through September 7, 2026 (https://dyacon.net/station.php?pid=ed10ad82e14ab7357d3ab2eadbb30b5b#_ABSTRACT_RENDERER_ID_20).
マーケット開始日： Aug 26, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
音量
$9,462終了日
2026/09/08マーケット開始日
Aug 26, 2026, 6:22 PM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded during Burning Man 2026 at the Black Rock City Airport weather station. Temperatures are recorded in degrees Fahrenheit and will be rounded to the nearest whole degree when resolving this market, rounding up on a half (e.g., a reading of 90.5°F resolves as 91°F).
The resolution period is the full run of Burning Man 2026: August 30, 2026 through September 7, 2026. The market resolves based on the single highest temperature recorded across all of these days.
The resolution source is the "Black Rock City - Airport (88NV)" personal weather station (station ID KNVLOVEL7) on Weather Underground, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KNVLOVEL7. The relevant value is the highest temperature reading shown for the resolution period. The temperature for each day can be seen at the Summary table at "Weather History for KNVLOVEL7" on the Weather Underground station page.
This market will not resolve until data for the final day of the resolution period has been published on the resolution source. If the data for the final day of the resolution period has not been posted by September 8, 2026 3:59 AM ET, this market can be extended until September 10, 2026. If the resolution source does not report temperature data by September 10, 2026 3:59 AM ET, resolution will be based on the highest Air Temperature recorded at the 88NV weather station on top of the 88NV tower from August 30, 2026 through September 7, 2026 (https://dyacon.net/station.php?pid=ed10ad82e14ab7357d3ab2eadbb30b5b#_ABSTRACT_RENDERER_ID_20). **Trader consensus at 100% for 87-88°F as the event's peak temperature reflects observed and forecasted conditions across the August 30–September 7 window at Black Rock Desert.** Pre-event National Weather Service guidance and nearby station data, including Lovelock Derby Field Airport maxima near 85°F on September 1, pointed to cooler-than-typical late-summer highs in the mid-to-upper 80s rather than the historical 95–104°F range. Seasonal transition into early September, combined with regional cooling patterns and limited daytime heating under variable winds, limited intensification. On-site playa measurements would need to exceed modeled values by several degrees—possible with localized thermal anomalies or revised post-event verification—to shift resolution outside this narrow band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded during Burning Man 2026 at the Black Rock City Airport weather station. Temperatures are recorded in degrees Fahrenheit and will be rounded to the nearest whole degree when resolving this market, rounding up on a half (e.g., a reading of 90.5°F resolves as 91°F).
The resolution period is the full run of Burning Man 2026: August 30, 2026 through September 7, 2026. The market resolves based on the single highest temperature recorded across all of these days.
The resolution source is the "Black Rock City - Airport (88NV)" personal weather station (station ID KNVLOVEL7) on Weather Underground, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KNVLOVEL7. The relevant value is the highest temperature reading shown for the resolution period. The temperature for each day can be seen at the Summary table at "Weather History for KNVLOVEL7" on the Weather Underground station page.
This market will not resolve until data for the final day of the resolution period has been published on the resolution source. If the data for the final day of the resolution period has not been posted by September 8, 2026 3:59 AM ET, this market can be extended until September 10, 2026. If the resolution source does not report temperature data by September 10, 2026 3:59 AM ET, resolution will be based on the highest Air Temperature recorded at the 88NV weather station on top of the 88NV tower from August 30, 2026 through September 7, 2026 (https://dyacon.net/station.php?pid=ed10ad82e14ab7357d3ab2eadbb30b5b#_ABSTRACT_RENDERER_ID_20).
The resolution period is the full run of Burning Man 2026: August 30, 2026 through September 7, 2026. The market resolves based on the single highest temperature recorded across all of these days.
The resolution source is the "Black Rock City - Airport (88NV)" personal weather station (station ID KNVLOVEL7) on Weather Underground, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KNVLOVEL7. The relevant value is the highest temperature reading shown for the resolution period. The temperature for each day can be seen at the Summary table at "Weather History for KNVLOVEL7" on the Weather Underground station page.
This market will not resolve until data for the final day of the resolution period has been published on the resolution source. If the data for the final day of the resolution period has not been posted by September 8, 2026 3:59 AM ET, this market can be extended until September 10, 2026. If the resolution source does not report temperature data by September 10, 2026 3:59 AM ET, resolution will be based on the highest Air Temperature recorded at the 88NV weather station on top of the 88NV tower from August 30, 2026 through September 7, 2026 (https://dyacon.net/station.php?pid=ed10ad82e14ab7357d3ab2eadbb30b5b#_ABSTRACT_RENDERER_ID_20).
音量
$9,462終了日
2026/09/08マーケット開始日
Aug 26, 2026, 6:22 PM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
**Trader consensus at 100% for 87-88°F as the event's peak temperature reflects observed and forecasted conditions across the August 30–September 7 window at Black Rock Desert.** Pre-event National Weather Service guidance and nearby station data, including Lovelock Derby Field Airport maxima near 85°F on September 1, pointed to cooler-than-typical late-summer highs in the mid-to-upper 80s rather than the historical 95–104°F range. Seasonal transition into early September, combined with regional cooling patterns and limited daytime heating under variable winds, limited intensification. On-site playa measurements would need to exceed modeled values by several degrees—possible with localized thermal anomalies or revised post-event verification—to shift resolution outside this narrow band.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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