No release by March 31 12.8%
March 20 11.3%
February 15 8.9%
March 6 8%
$12,072 Vol.
$12,072 Vol.
Released before February 15
$329 Vol.
6%
February 15
$1,330 Vol.
9%
February 16
$230 Vol.
5%
February 17
$223 Vol.
6%
February 18
$227 Vol.
5%
February 19
$223 Vol.
6%
February 20
$226 Vol.
5%
February 21
$223 Vol.
5%
February 22
$223 Vol.
3%
February 23
$223 Vol.
5%
February 24
$223 Vol.
4%
February 25
$226 Vol.
5%
February 26
$226 Vol.
5%
February 27
$223 Vol.
5%
February 28
$223 Vol.
5%
March 1
$226 Vol.
4%
March 2
$223 Vol.
3%
March 3
$226 Vol.
3%
March 4
$223 Vol.
3%
March 5
$223 Vol.
3%
March 6
$226 Vol.
8%
March 7
$226 Vol.
4%
March 8
$223 Vol.
3%
March 9
$227 Vol.
4%
March 10
$223 Vol.
3%
March 11
$228 Vol.
5%
March 12
$226 Vol.
4%
March 13
$227 Vol.
4%
March 14
$223 Vol.
3%
March 15
$227 Vol.
3%
March 16
$227 Vol.
3%
March 17
$223 Vol.
3%
March 18
$227 Vol.
4%
March 19
$227 Vol.
4%
March 20
$348 Vol.
11%
March 21
$223 Vol.
5%
March 22
$226 Vol.
4%
March 23
$226 Vol.
5%
March 24
$226 Vol.
4%
March 25
$226 Vol.
4%
March 26
$223 Vol.
7%
March 27
$223 Vol.
4%
March 28
$223 Vol.
4%
March 29
$227 Vol.
8%
March 30
$223 Vol.
3%
March 31
$223 Vol.
3%
No release by March 31
$402 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve to "Released before February 15" if xAI's Grok 4.20 model is made available to the general public before February 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve to "No release by March 31" if xAI's Grok 4.20 model is not made available to the general public by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
To qualify, Grok 4.20 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public.
Grok 4.20 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.20, or one that is recognized as a successor to Grok 4.1, similar to the progression from Grok 4 to Grok 4.1. Products labeled as Grok 4.12 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
作成日： Feb 9, 2026, 6:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...No release by March 31 12.8%
March 20 11.3%
February 15 8.9%
March 6 8%
$12,072 Vol.
$12,072 Vol.
Released before February 15
6%
February 15
9%
February 16
5%
February 17
6%
February 18
5%
February 19
6%
February 20
5%
February 21
5%
February 22
3%
February 23
5%
February 24
4%
February 25
5%
February 26
5%
February 27
5%
February 28
5%
March 1
4%
March 2
3%
March 3
3%
March 4
3%
March 5
3%
March 6
8%
March 7
4%
March 8
3%
March 9
4%
March 10
3%
March 11
5%
March 12
4%
March 13
4%
March 14
3%
March 15
3%
March 16
3%
March 17
3%
March 18
4%
March 19
4%
March 20
11%
March 21
5%
March 22
4%
March 23
5%
March 24
4%
March 25
4%
March 26
7%
March 27
4%
March 28
4%
March 29
8%
March 30
3%
March 31
3%
No release by March 31
13%
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外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。