Following the FIFA World Cup 2026 group stage draw on December 13, trader consensus positions Portugal as the dominant Group K favorite at 66% implied probability, driven by their elite UEFA pedigree, top-10 FIFA ranking, and stacked roster with Cristiano Ronaldo, Bruno Fernandes, and Bernardo Silva providing proven international firepower amid strong recent Nations League results. Colombia holds steady at 31.5% as a credible challenger, bolstered by CONMEBOL qualifier momentum, Copa América semifinal run, and stars like Luis Díaz and Jhon Durán offsetting a mid-tier FIFA rank around 20th. Uzbekistan (1.4%) and the DRC/Jamaica/New Caledonia trio (2.8%) trail due to lower AFC/CAF/CONCACAF/OFC rankings, limited World Cup experience, and weaker recent qualifier form, though upsets remain possible in the expanded 48-team format where top two plus select third-placers advance. No major injuries or roster shifts reported in the past week.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日ポルトガル 67%
コロンビア 32%
DRC／JAM／NCL 2.8%
ウズベキスタン 1.4%
$17,271 Vol.
$17,271 Vol.
Jun 27, 2026
ポルトガル
67%
コロンビア
32%
DRC／JAM／NCL
3%
ウズベキスタン
1%
ポルトガル 67%
コロンビア 32%
DRC／JAM／NCL 2.8%
ウズベキスタン 1.4%
$17,271 Vol.
$17,271 Vol.
Jun 27, 2026
ポルトガル
$9,898 Vol.
67%
コロンビア
$2,649 Vol.
32%
DRC／JAM／NCL
$2,466 Vol.
3%
ウズベキスタン
$2,258 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ET
音量
$17,271終了日
Jun 27, 2026マーケット開始日
Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$17,271終了日
Jun 27, 2026マーケット開始日
Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Following the FIFA World Cup 2026 group stage draw on December 13, trader consensus positions Portugal as the dominant Group K favorite at 66% implied probability, driven by their elite UEFA pedigree, top-10 FIFA ranking, and stacked roster with Cristiano Ronaldo, Bruno Fernandes, and Bernardo Silva providing proven international firepower amid strong recent Nations League results. Colombia holds steady at 31.5% as a credible challenger, bolstered by CONMEBOL qualifier momentum, Copa América semifinal run, and stars like Luis Díaz and Jhon Durán offsetting a mid-tier FIFA rank around 20th. Uzbekistan (1.4%) and the DRC/Jamaica/New Caledonia trio (2.8%) trail due to lower AFC/CAF/CONCACAF/OFC rankings, limited World Cup experience, and weaker recent qualifier form, though upsets remain possible in the expanded 48-team format where top two plus select third-placers advance. No major injuries or roster shifts reported in the past week.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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