Trader consensus prices Spain at 81.5% implied probability to win Group H, driven by their Euro 2024 triumph, top-tier FIFA ranking, and depth featuring returning stars like Lamine Yamal and Rodri from recent March internationals, positioning them far ahead of rivals. The March 31 group draw crystallized this favoritism, with previews emphasizing Spain's attacking fluidity against Uruguay's gritty CONMEBOL qualifiers form—where La Celeste finished fourth for direct qualification—yet stylistic edges favor La Roja in their marquee clash. Cape Verde's debutant status and Saudi Arabia's inconsistent group-stage history in past World Cups relegate them to 2.3% and 2.2%, underscoring the competitive gap despite top-two advancement plus best thirds format.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日スペイン 82%
ウルグアイ 16%
カーボベルデ 2.3%
サウジアラビア 2.2%
$71,157 Vol.
$71,157 Vol.
スペイン
82%
ウルグアイ
16%
カーボベルデ
2%
サウジアラビア
2%
スペイン 82%
ウルグアイ 16%
カーボベルデ 2.3%
サウジアラビア 2.2%
$71,157 Vol.
$71,157 Vol.
スペイン
82%
ウルグアイ
16%
カーボベルデ
2%
サウジアラビア
2%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日: Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Spain at 81.5% implied probability to win Group H, driven by their Euro 2024 triumph, top-tier FIFA ranking, and depth featuring returning stars like Lamine Yamal and Rodri from recent March internationals, positioning them far ahead of rivals. The March 31 group draw crystallized this favoritism, with previews emphasizing Spain's attacking fluidity against Uruguay's gritty CONMEBOL qualifiers form—where La Celeste finished fourth for direct qualification—yet stylistic edges favor La Roja in their marquee clash. Cape Verde's debutant status and Saudi Arabia's inconsistent group-stage history in past World Cups relegate them to 2.3% and 2.2%, underscoring the competitive gap despite top-two advancement plus best thirds format.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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