Belgium's commanding 71.5% implied probability as Group G winner stems from their elite FIFA ranking, unbeaten run through European qualifiers, and depth featuring Kevin De Bruyne and a robust defense, positioning them as clear favorites against lesser opposition. Egypt trails at 21.5%, buoyed by Mohamed Salah's elite scoring form amid Liverpool's title push, though their shaky CAF qualifying campaign—marked by draws and a recent loss to Guinea—tempers expectations. New Zealand (2.8%) and Iran (1.6%) reflect underdog status, with the All Whites relying on OFC dominance but lacking star power, and Iran hampered by key absences in Asian playoffs plus poor head-to-head history versus Europe/Africa. No major injuries alter lineups per latest reports.