Persistent inflation pressures, resilient labor market conditions, and subdued recession risks have anchored trader consensus against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027. With the federal funds target range steady at 3.50%-3.75% following the April FOMC meeting and the median dot plot projecting just one conventional cut in 2026, officials have prioritized returning inflation—currently near 3.3% headline CPI—to the 2% target amid energy price volatility tied to Middle East developments. Unemployment holding near 4.3% and first-quarter GDP growth rebounding to a 1.6-2.0% annualized pace further reduce the likelihood of abrupt easing. Market-implied odds reflect this baseline stability, with any shift hinging on upcoming CPI releases and June FOMC communications that could alter the policy path.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$105,330 Vol.
$105,330 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
$105,330 Vol.
$105,330 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Persistent inflation pressures, resilient labor market conditions, and subdued recession risks have anchored trader consensus against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027. With the federal funds target range steady at 3.50%-3.75% following the April FOMC meeting and the median dot plot projecting just one conventional cut in 2026, officials have prioritized returning inflation—currently near 3.3% headline CPI—to the 2% target amid energy price volatility tied to Middle East developments. Unemployment holding near 4.3% and first-quarter GDP growth rebounding to a 1.6-2.0% annualized pace further reduce the likelihood of abrupt easing. Market-implied odds reflect this baseline stability, with any shift hinging on upcoming CPI releases and June FOMC communications that could alter the policy path.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
マーケット開始日： Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ET
音量
$105,330終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Persistent inflation pressures, resilient labor market conditions, and subdued recession risks have anchored trader consensus against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027. With the federal funds target range steady at 3.50%-3.75% following the April FOMC meeting and the median dot plot projecting just one conventional cut in 2026, officials have prioritized returning inflation—currently near 3.3% headline CPI—to the 2% target amid energy price volatility tied to Middle East developments. Unemployment holding near 4.3% and first-quarter GDP growth rebounding to a 1.6-2.0% annualized pace further reduce the likelihood of abrupt easing. Market-implied odds reflect this baseline stability, with any shift hinging on upcoming CPI releases and June FOMC communications that could alter the policy path.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
音量
$105,330終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Persistent inflation pressures, resilient labor market conditions, and subdued recession risks have anchored trader consensus against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027. With the federal funds target range steady at 3.50%-3.75% following the April FOMC meeting and the median dot plot projecting just one conventional cut in 2026, officials have prioritized returning inflation—currently near 3.3% headline CPI—to the 2% target amid energy price volatility tied to Middle East developments. Unemployment holding near 4.3% and first-quarter GDP growth rebounding to a 1.6-2.0% annualized pace further reduce the likelihood of abrupt easing. Market-implied odds reflect this baseline stability, with any shift hinging on upcoming CPI releases and June FOMC communications that could alter the policy path.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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