George Russell leads trader consensus at 58% implied probability for Japanese Grand Prix victory after topping FP1 and FP2 sessions at Suzuka, showcasing Mercedes' superior race pace and aero efficiency on the high-speed figure-8 layout where he holds a strong historical podium record. Teammate Andrea Kimi Antonelli, the hyped F2 champion making his F1 practice debut, impressed with P2 times, fueling his 21.5% pricing amid buzz over his raw speed and Mercedes' seamless driver pairing. Charles Leclerc (7.5%) and Lewis Hamilton (6.5%) trail due to Ferrari and Mercedes' consistent top-four form in recent Grands Prix, while Max Verstappen's 3.7% reflects Red Bull's subdued practice showing hampered by setup struggles and tire degradation concerns entering FP3 and qualifying.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日George Russell 58%
Andrea Kimi Antonelli 22%
Charles Leclerc 8%
Lewis Hamilton 7%
$579,141 Vol.
$579,141 Vol.
George Russell
58%
Andrea Kimi Antonelli
22%
Charles Leclerc
8%
Lewis Hamilton
7%
Max Verstappen
4%
Lando Norris
2%
Oscar Piastri
2%
Isack Hadjar
1%
Oliver Bearman
<1%
Fernando Alonso
<1%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
<1%
Pierre Gasly
<1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
<1%
Sergio Perez
<1%
Franco Colapinto
<1%
Nico Hulkenberg
<1%
Liam Lawson
<1%
Alexander Albon
<1%
Esteban Ocon
<1%
Valtteri Bottas
<1%
Arvid Lindblad
<1%
George Russell 58%
Andrea Kimi Antonelli 22%
Charles Leclerc 8%
Lewis Hamilton 7%
$579,141 Vol.
$579,141 Vol.
George Russell
58%
Andrea Kimi Antonelli
22%
Charles Leclerc
8%
Lewis Hamilton
7%
Max Verstappen
4%
Lando Norris
2%
Oscar Piastri
2%
Isack Hadjar
1%
Oliver Bearman
<1%
Fernando Alonso
<1%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
<1%
Pierre Gasly
<1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
<1%
Sergio Perez
<1%
Franco Colapinto
<1%
Nico Hulkenberg
<1%
Liam Lawson
<1%
Alexander Albon
<1%
Esteban Ocon
<1%
Valtteri Bottas
<1%
Arvid Lindblad
<1%
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
マーケット開始日: Mar 11, 2026, 7:32 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...George Russell leads trader consensus at 58% implied probability for Japanese Grand Prix victory after topping FP1 and FP2 sessions at Suzuka, showcasing Mercedes' superior race pace and aero efficiency on the high-speed figure-8 layout where he holds a strong historical podium record. Teammate Andrea Kimi Antonelli, the hyped F2 champion making his F1 practice debut, impressed with P2 times, fueling his 21.5% pricing amid buzz over his raw speed and Mercedes' seamless driver pairing. Charles Leclerc (7.5%) and Lewis Hamilton (6.5%) trail due to Ferrari and Mercedes' consistent top-four form in recent Grands Prix, while Max Verstappen's 3.7% reflects Red Bull's subdued practice showing hampered by setup struggles and tire degradation concerns entering FP3 and qualifying.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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