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スポーツ·フォーミュラ1

日本グランプリ：ドライバー優勝

Market icon
スポーツ·フォーミュラ1

日本グランプリ：ドライバー優勝

Andrea Kimi Antonelli 50%

George Russell 34%

Charles Leclerc 6.8%

Oscar Piastri 3.7%

Polymarket

$958,621 Vol.

Andrea Kimi Antonelli 50%

George Russell 34%

Charles Leclerc 6.8%

Oscar Piastri 3.7%

Polymarket

$958,621 Vol.

Andrea Kimi Antonelli

$62,955 Vol.

50%

George Russell

$56,322 Vol.

34%

Charles Leclerc

$77,734 Vol.

7%

Oscar Piastri

$44,945 Vol.

4%

Lewis Hamilton

$81,109 Vol.

2%

Lando Norris

$35,514 Vol.

1%

Max Verstappen

$451,391 Vol.

1%

Pierre Gasly

$50,692 Vol.

<1%

Fernando Alonso

$5,724 Vol.

<1%

Alexander Albon

$0 Vol.

<1%

Gabriel Bortoleto

$5,773 Vol.

<1%

Sergio Perez

$0 Vol.

<1%

Esteban Ocon

$0 Vol.

<1%

Franco Colapinto

$0 Vol.

<1%

Carlos Sainz Jr.

$7,001 Vol.

<1%

Nico Hulkenberg

$0 Vol.

<1%

Valtteri Bottas

$0 Vol.

<1%

Oliver Bearman

$20,395 Vol.

<1%

Arvid Lindblad

$0 Vol.

<1%

Isack Hadjar

$59,519 Vol.

<1%

Liam Lawson

$0 Vol.

<1%

This is a polymarket on the winner of the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 29, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.Kimi Antonelli's commanding pole position for the Japanese Grand Prix at Suzuka, his second consecutive after China, positions him as the clear trader favorite at 53.5% implied probability, bolstered by Mercedes' flawless start to 2026 with 1-2 finishes in Australia and China. Teammate George Russell, championship leader with 51 points, trails closely at 34.0% following his FP1 pace and P2 in qualifying, reflecting the squad's superior race pace and adaptation to new regulations on Suzuka's high-speed layout. Red Bull's struggles, exemplified by Max Verstappen's Q2 exit and ongoing setup woes, along with Ferrari and McLaren's deficit, keep others like Charles Leclerc (6.7%) and Oscar Piastri (3.7%) as distant threats amid no major injury concerns.

Kimi Antonelli's commanding pole position for the Japanese Grand Prix at Suzuka, his second consecutive after China, positions him as the clear trader favorite at 53.5% implied probability, bolstered by Mercedes' flawless start to 2026 with 1-2 finishes in Australia and China. Teammate George Russell, championship leader with 51 points, trails closely at 34.0% following his FP1 pace and P2 in qualifying, reflecting the squad's superior race pace and adaptation to new regulations on Suzuka's high-speed layout. Red Bull's struggles, exemplified by Max Verstappen's Q2 exit and ongoing setup woes, along with Ferrari and McLaren's deficit, keep others like Charles Leclerc (6.7%) and Oscar Piastri (3.7%) as distant threats amid no major injury concerns.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This is a polymarket on the winner of the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 29, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.Kimi Antonelli's commanding pole position for the Japanese Grand Prix at Suzuka, his second consecutive after China, positions him as the clear trader favorite at 53.5% implied probability, bolstered by Mercedes' flawless start to 2026 with 1-2 finishes in Australia and China. Teammate George Russell, championship leader with 51 points, trails closely at 34.0% following his FP1 pace and P2 in qualifying, reflecting the squad's superior race pace and adaptation to new regulations on Suzuka's high-speed layout. Red Bull's struggles, exemplified by Max Verstappen's Q2 exit and ongoing setup woes, along with Ferrari and McLaren's deficit, keep others like Charles Leclerc (6.7%) and Oscar Piastri (3.7%) as distant threats amid no major injury concerns.

Kimi Antonelli's commanding pole position for the Japanese Grand Prix at Suzuka, his second consecutive after China, positions him as the clear trader favorite at 53.5% implied probability, bolstered by Mercedes' flawless start to 2026 with 1-2 finishes in Australia and China. Teammate George Russell, championship leader with 51 points, trails closely at 34.0% following his FP1 pace and P2 in qualifying, reflecting the squad's superior race pace and adaptation to new regulations on Suzuka's high-speed layout. Red Bull's struggles, exemplified by Max Verstappen's Q2 exit and ongoing setup woes, along with Ferrari and McLaren's deficit, keep others like Charles Leclerc (6.7%) and Oscar Piastri (3.7%) as distant threats amid no major injury concerns.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「日本グランプリ：ドライバー優勝」はPolymarket上の21個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Andrea Kimi Antonelli」で50%、次いで「George Russell」が34%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、50¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に50%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「日本グランプリ：ドライバー優勝」は$958.6Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Mar 11, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「日本グランプリ：ドライバー優勝」で取引するには、このページに記載されている21個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「日本グランプリ：ドライバー優勝」の現在のフロントランナーは「Andrea Kimi Antonelli」で50%であり、市場がこの結果に50%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「George Russell」で34%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「日本グランプリ：ドライバー優勝」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。