Mercedes commands a 71% implied probability among traders for the constructor with the highest classified finisher at the Japanese Grand Prix, driven by George Russell and Lewis Hamilton's standout pace in FP1 and FP2 at Suzuka, where Mercedes topped long-run simulations and sector times in the high-speed Esses and 130R corners. Ferrari's 33% share reflects Charles Leclerc's strong one-lap speed in qualifying trim and the SF-24's superior tire degradation management on the abrasive track surface, positioning them as the primary challenger. Recent Red Bull setup struggles and McLaren's grid compromises in practice over the past 48 hours cap their odds at 7% and 6%, respectively, while midfield teams like Racing Bulls and Haas linger around 9% amid no reported DNF risks or weather disruptions yet. Suzuka's demanding layout historically rewards balanced cars, amplifying these dynamics ahead of qualifying.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Mercedes 69%
Ferrari 43%
Racing Bulls 19%
Tgr Haas 17%
NEW
NEW
Apr 5, 2026
Mercedes
69%
Ferrari
33%
Racing Bulls
19%
Tgr Haas
17%
Alpine
16%
Audi Revolut
11%
Red Bull
7%
Mclaren Mastercard
6%
Cadillac
4%
Williams
1%
Aston Martin
1%
Mercedes 69%
Ferrari 43%
Racing Bulls 19%
Tgr Haas 17%
NEW
NEW
Apr 5, 2026
Mercedes
$0 Vol.
69%
Ferrari
$0 Vol.
33%
Racing Bulls
$0 Vol.
19%
Tgr Haas
$0 Vol.
17%
Alpine
$0 Vol.
16%
Audi Revolut
$0 Vol.
11%
Red Bull
$0 Vol.
7%
Mclaren Mastercard
$0 Vol.
6%
Cadillac
$0 Vol.
4%
Williams
$0 Vol.
1%
Aston Martin
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the constructor team that collects the most points at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix, currently scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
In the case of a tie between two teams for most points, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
As soon as the results for this event are known, this market will resolve.
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (F1).This market will resolve to the constructor team that collects the most points at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix, currently scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
In the case of a tie between two teams for most points, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
As soon as the results for this event are known, this market will resolve.
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (F1).This market will resolve to the constructor team that collects the most points at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix, currently scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
In the case of a tie between two teams for most points, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
As soon as the results for this event are known, this market will resolve.
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (F1).This market will resolve to the constructor team that collects the most points at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix, currently scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
In the case of a tie between two teams for most points, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
As soon as the results for this event are known, this market will resolve.
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (F1).This market will resolve to the constructor team that collects the most points at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix, currently scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
In the case of a tie between two teams for most points, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
As soon as the results for this event are known, this market will resolve.
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (F1).This market will resolve to the constructor team that collects the most points at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix, currently scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
In the case of a tie between two teams for most points, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
As soon as the results for this event are known, this market will resolve.
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (F1).This market will resolve to the constructor team that collects the most points at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix, currently scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
In the case of a tie between two teams for most points, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
As soon as the results for this event are known, this market will resolve.
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (F1).This market will resolve to the constructor team that collects the most points at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix, currently scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
In the case of a tie between two teams for most points, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
As soon as the results for this event are known, this market will resolve.
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (F1).This market will resolve to the constructor team that collects the most points at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix, currently scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
In the case of a tie between two teams for most points, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
As soon as the results for this event are known, this market will resolve.
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (F1).This market will resolve to the constructor team that collects the most points at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix, currently scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
In the case of a tie between two teams for most points, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
As soon as the results for this event are known, this market will resolve.
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (F1).This market will resolve to the constructor team that collects the most points at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix, currently scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
In the case of a tie between two teams for most points, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
As soon as the results for this event are known, this market will resolve.
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (F1).
This market will resolve to the constructor team that collects the most points at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix, currently scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
In the case of a tie between two teams for most points, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
As soon as the results for this event are known, this market will resolve.
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (F1).This market will resolve to the constructor team that collects the most points at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix, currently scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
In the case of a tie between two teams for most points, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
As soon as the results for this event are known, this market will resolve.
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (F1).
In the case of a tie between two teams for most points, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
As soon as the results for this event are known, this market will resolve.
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (F1).
マーケット開始日： Mar 11, 2026, 8:31 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
Apr 5, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 11, 2026, 8:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the constructor team that collects the most points at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix, currently scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
In the case of a tie between two teams for most points, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
As soon as the results for this event are known, this market will resolve.
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (F1).This market will resolve to the constructor team that collects the most points at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix, currently scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
In the case of a tie between two teams for most points, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
As soon as the results for this event are known, this market will resolve.
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (F1).This market will resolve to the constructor team that collects the most points at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix, currently scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
In the case of a tie between two teams for most points, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
As soon as the results for this event are known, this market will resolve.
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (F1).This market will resolve to the constructor team that collects the most points at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix, currently scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
In the case of a tie between two teams for most points, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
As soon as the results for this event are known, this market will resolve.
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (F1).This market will resolve to the constructor team that collects the most points at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix, currently scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
In the case of a tie between two teams for most points, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
As soon as the results for this event are known, this market will resolve.
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (F1).This market will resolve to the constructor team that collects the most points at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix, currently scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
In the case of a tie between two teams for most points, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
As soon as the results for this event are known, this market will resolve.
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (F1).This market will resolve to the constructor team that collects the most points at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix, currently scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
In the case of a tie between two teams for most points, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
As soon as the results for this event are known, this market will resolve.
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (F1).This market will resolve to the constructor team that collects the most points at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix, currently scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
In the case of a tie between two teams for most points, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
As soon as the results for this event are known, this market will resolve.
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (F1).This market will resolve to the constructor team that collects the most points at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix, currently scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
In the case of a tie between two teams for most points, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
As soon as the results for this event are known, this market will resolve.
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (F1).This market will resolve to the constructor team that collects the most points at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix, currently scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
In the case of a tie between two teams for most points, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
As soon as the results for this event are known, this market will resolve.
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (F1).This market will resolve to the constructor team that collects the most points at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix, currently scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
In the case of a tie between two teams for most points, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
As soon as the results for this event are known, this market will resolve.
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (F1).
音量
$0終了日
Apr 5, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 11, 2026, 8:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mercedes commands a 71% implied probability among traders for the constructor with the highest classified finisher at the Japanese Grand Prix, driven by George Russell and Lewis Hamilton's standout pace in FP1 and FP2 at Suzuka, where Mercedes topped long-run simulations and sector times in the high-speed Esses and 130R corners. Ferrari's 33% share reflects Charles Leclerc's strong one-lap speed in qualifying trim and the SF-24's superior tire degradation management on the abrasive track surface, positioning them as the primary challenger. Recent Red Bull setup struggles and McLaren's grid compromises in practice over the past 48 hours cap their odds at 7% and 6%, respectively, while midfield teams like Racing Bulls and Haas linger around 9% amid no reported DNF risks or weather disruptions yet. Suzuka's demanding layout historically rewards balanced cars, amplifying these dynamics ahead of qualifying.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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