Mercedes locked out the front row at Suzuka with Kimi Antonelli on pole (1:28.778) ahead of George Russell (+0.298), capping dominant practice sessions where they topped FP1, FP2 competitiveness, and FP3—reinforcing their constructors' lead at 98 points after strong early-season wins. This front-loaded grid positioning, combined with superior single-lap pace and chassis balance on the demanding Suzuka layout, drives trader consensus toward Mercedes claiming first points via the highest-finishing car. Ferrari and McLaren trail closely in qualifying (Leclerc and Piastri P3-P4), but realistic challengers include multi-car incidents, dual Mercedes DNFs from mechanical failures or crashes, suboptimal pit strategy, or unexpected tire degradation favoring rivals' race pace.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Mercedes 95%
Ferrari 5.2%
Mclaren Mastercard 1.5%
Racing Bulls <1%
$14,554 Vol.
$14,554 Vol.
Mercedes
95%
Ferrari
5%
Mclaren Mastercard
2%
Racing Bulls
<1%
Alpine
<1%
Aston Martin
<1%
Williams
<1%
Audi Revolut
<1%
Cadillac
<1%
Tgr Haas
<1%
Red Bull
<1%
Mercedes 95%
Ferrari 5.2%
Mclaren Mastercard 1.5%
Racing Bulls <1%
$14,554 Vol.
$14,554 Vol.
Mercedes
95%
Ferrari
5%
Mclaren Mastercard
2%
Racing Bulls
<1%
Alpine
<1%
Aston Martin
<1%
Williams
<1%
Audi Revolut
<1%
Cadillac
<1%
Tgr Haas
<1%
Red Bull
<1%
In the case of a tie between two teams for most points, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
As soon as the results for this event are known, this market will resolve.
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (F1).
マーケット開始日: Mar 11, 2026, 8:31 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...In the case of a tie between two teams for most points, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
As soon as the results for this event are known, this market will resolve.
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (F1).
Resolution Source
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mercedes locked out the front row at Suzuka with Kimi Antonelli on pole (1:28.778) ahead of George Russell (+0.298), capping dominant practice sessions where they topped FP1, FP2 competitiveness, and FP3—reinforcing their constructors' lead at 98 points after strong early-season wins. This front-loaded grid positioning, combined with superior single-lap pace and chassis balance on the demanding Suzuka layout, drives trader consensus toward Mercedes claiming first points via the highest-finishing car. Ferrari and McLaren trail closely in qualifying (Leclerc and Piastri P3-P4), but realistic challengers include multi-car incidents, dual Mercedes DNFs from mechanical failures or crashes, suboptimal pit strategy, or unexpected tire degradation favoring rivals' race pace.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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