Mercedes' dominant FP2 performance at Suzuka, where George Russell clocked the fastest lap on soft tires ahead of teammate Lewis Hamilton's solid long-run stints, has shaped trader consensus at 67.5% implied probability for the constructor to claim the highest-finishing car in the Japanese Grand Prix. Ferrari trails closely at 33% as the primary challenger, bolstered by Charles Leclerc's P3 in FP1 and recent aero tweaks boosting top speed through Suzuka's high-commitment Esses and Spoon corners. Red Bull's uncharacteristic balance struggles in practice have tempered expectations despite Max Verstappen's pedigree here, pricing them at just 7%, while midfield optimism lifts Racing Bulls (9.5%) via Yuki Tsunoda's home motivation and Haas (8.5%) on Oliver Bearman's promising debut pace. Qualifying this afternoon could shift dynamics amid mild weather forecasts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Mercedes 68%
Ferrari 43%
Racing Bulls 19%
Tgr Haas 17%
NEW
NEW
Apr 5, 2026
Mercedes
68%
Ferrari
33%
Racing Bulls
19%
Tgr Haas
17%
Alpine
16%
Audi Revolut
11%
Red Bull
7%
Mclaren Mastercard
6%
Cadillac
4%
Williams
1%
Aston Martin
1%
Mercedes 68%
Ferrari 43%
Racing Bulls 19%
Tgr Haas 17%
NEW
NEW
Apr 5, 2026
Mercedes
$0 Vol.
68%
Ferrari
$0 Vol.
33%
Racing Bulls
$0 Vol.
19%
Tgr Haas
$0 Vol.
17%
Alpine
$0 Vol.
16%
Audi Revolut
$0 Vol.
11%
Red Bull
$0 Vol.
7%
Mclaren Mastercard
$0 Vol.
6%
Cadillac
$0 Vol.
4%
Williams
$0 Vol.
1%
Aston Martin
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the constructor team that collects the most points at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix, currently scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
In the case of a tie between two teams for most points, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
As soon as the results for this event are known, this market will resolve.
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (F1).This market will resolve to the constructor team that collects the most points at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix, currently scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
In the case of a tie between two teams for most points, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
As soon as the results for this event are known, this market will resolve.
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (F1).This market will resolve to the constructor team that collects the most points at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix, currently scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
In the case of a tie between two teams for most points, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
As soon as the results for this event are known, this market will resolve.
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (F1).This market will resolve to the constructor team that collects the most points at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix, currently scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
In the case of a tie between two teams for most points, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
As soon as the results for this event are known, this market will resolve.
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (F1).This market will resolve to the constructor team that collects the most points at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix, currently scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
In the case of a tie between two teams for most points, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
As soon as the results for this event are known, this market will resolve.
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (F1).This market will resolve to the constructor team that collects the most points at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix, currently scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
In the case of a tie between two teams for most points, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
As soon as the results for this event are known, this market will resolve.
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (F1).This market will resolve to the constructor team that collects the most points at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix, currently scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
In the case of a tie between two teams for most points, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
As soon as the results for this event are known, this market will resolve.
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (F1).This market will resolve to the constructor team that collects the most points at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix, currently scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
In the case of a tie between two teams for most points, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
As soon as the results for this event are known, this market will resolve.
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (F1).This market will resolve to the constructor team that collects the most points at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix, currently scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
In the case of a tie between two teams for most points, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
As soon as the results for this event are known, this market will resolve.
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (F1).This market will resolve to the constructor team that collects the most points at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix, currently scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
In the case of a tie between two teams for most points, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
As soon as the results for this event are known, this market will resolve.
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (F1).This market will resolve to the constructor team that collects the most points at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix, currently scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
In the case of a tie between two teams for most points, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
As soon as the results for this event are known, this market will resolve.
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (F1).
This market will resolve to the constructor team that collects the most points at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix, currently scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
In the case of a tie between two teams for most points, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
As soon as the results for this event are known, this market will resolve.
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (F1).This market will resolve to the constructor team that collects the most points at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix, currently scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
In the case of a tie between two teams for most points, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
As soon as the results for this event are known, this market will resolve.
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (F1).
In the case of a tie between two teams for most points, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
As soon as the results for this event are known, this market will resolve.
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (F1).
マーケット開始日： Mar 11, 2026, 8:31 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
Apr 5, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 11, 2026, 8:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the constructor team that collects the most points at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix, currently scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
In the case of a tie between two teams for most points, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
As soon as the results for this event are known, this market will resolve.
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (F1).This market will resolve to the constructor team that collects the most points at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix, currently scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
In the case of a tie between two teams for most points, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
As soon as the results for this event are known, this market will resolve.
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (F1).This market will resolve to the constructor team that collects the most points at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix, currently scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
In the case of a tie between two teams for most points, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
As soon as the results for this event are known, this market will resolve.
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (F1).This market will resolve to the constructor team that collects the most points at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix, currently scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
In the case of a tie between two teams for most points, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
As soon as the results for this event are known, this market will resolve.
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (F1).This market will resolve to the constructor team that collects the most points at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix, currently scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
In the case of a tie between two teams for most points, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
As soon as the results for this event are known, this market will resolve.
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (F1).This market will resolve to the constructor team that collects the most points at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix, currently scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
In the case of a tie between two teams for most points, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
As soon as the results for this event are known, this market will resolve.
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (F1).This market will resolve to the constructor team that collects the most points at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix, currently scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
In the case of a tie between two teams for most points, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
As soon as the results for this event are known, this market will resolve.
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (F1).This market will resolve to the constructor team that collects the most points at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix, currently scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
In the case of a tie between two teams for most points, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
As soon as the results for this event are known, this market will resolve.
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (F1).This market will resolve to the constructor team that collects the most points at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix, currently scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
In the case of a tie between two teams for most points, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
As soon as the results for this event are known, this market will resolve.
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (F1).This market will resolve to the constructor team that collects the most points at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix, currently scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
In the case of a tie between two teams for most points, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
As soon as the results for this event are known, this market will resolve.
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (F1).This market will resolve to the constructor team that collects the most points at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix, currently scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
In the case of a tie between two teams for most points, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
As soon as the results for this event are known, this market will resolve.
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (F1).
音量
$0終了日
Apr 5, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 11, 2026, 8:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mercedes' dominant FP2 performance at Suzuka, where George Russell clocked the fastest lap on soft tires ahead of teammate Lewis Hamilton's solid long-run stints, has shaped trader consensus at 67.5% implied probability for the constructor to claim the highest-finishing car in the Japanese Grand Prix. Ferrari trails closely at 33% as the primary challenger, bolstered by Charles Leclerc's P3 in FP1 and recent aero tweaks boosting top speed through Suzuka's high-commitment Esses and Spoon corners. Red Bull's uncharacteristic balance struggles in practice have tempered expectations despite Max Verstappen's pedigree here, pricing them at just 7%, while midfield optimism lifts Racing Bulls (9.5%) via Yuki Tsunoda's home motivation and Haas (8.5%) on Oliver Bearman's promising debut pace. Qualifying this afternoon could shift dynamics amid mild weather forecasts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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