Mercedes holds a commanding 86% implied probability for the Japanese Grand Prix constructor pole position at Suzuka after dominating FP2, where George Russell posted the quickest lap ahead of teammate Lewis Hamilton in P2, showcasing superior single-lap pace on the demanding high-downforce layout. Recent upgrades to their W16 chassis have elevated Mercedes' qualifying form, with three poles from the last five Grands Prix, while rivals like Red Bull struggled with understeer and McLaren cited setup compromises. Ferrari showed promise but lacks outright speed. Realistic challenges include a McLaren tyre strategy breakthrough, Red Bull unlocking balance in FP3, or unforecast rain disrupting qualifying sessions tomorrow. Trader consensus reflects Mercedes' recent momentum and track-suited aero package.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Mercedes 91%
Mclaren Mastercard 15%
Audi Revolut 10%
Ferrari 9%
NEW
NEW
Apr 4, 2026
Mercedes
86%
Mclaren Mastercard
12%
Audi Revolut
10%
Ferrari
9%
Tgr Haas
2%
Red Bull
2%
Alpine
1%
Racing Bulls
1%
Cadillac
1%
Williams
8%
Aston Martin
8%
Mercedes 91%
Mclaren Mastercard 15%
Audi Revolut 10%
Ferrari 9%
NEW
NEW
Apr 4, 2026
Mercedes
$202 Vol.
86%
Mclaren Mastercard
$83 Vol.
12%
Audi Revolut
$0 Vol.
10%
Ferrari
$65 Vol.
9%
Tgr Haas
$1,256 Vol.
2%
Red Bull
$1,063 Vol.
2%
Alpine
$1,143 Vol.
1%
Racing Bulls
$1,035 Vol.
1%
Cadillac
$1,629 Vol.
1%
Williams
$1,434 Vol.
8%
Aston Martin
$1,078 Vol.
8%
This is a polymarket on the constructor team that achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 28, 2026.
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 4, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the constructor team that is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a constructor team sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that constructor team.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.Mercedes holds a commanding 86% implied probability for the Japanese Grand Prix constructor pole position at Suzuka after dominating FP2, where George Russell posted the quickest lap ahead of teammate Lewis Hamilton in P2, showcasing superior single-lap pace on the demanding high-downforce layout. Recent upgrades to their W16 chassis have elevated Mercedes' qualifying form, with three poles from the last five Grands Prix, while rivals like Red Bull struggled with understeer and McLaren cited setup compromises. Ferrari showed promise but lacks outright speed. Realistic challenges include a McLaren tyre strategy breakthrough, Red Bull unlocking balance in FP3, or unforecast rain disrupting qualifying sessions tomorrow. Trader consensus reflects Mercedes' recent momentum and track-suited aero package.
This is a polymarket on the constructor team that achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 28, 2026.
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 4, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the constructor team that is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a constructor team sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that constructor team.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 4, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the constructor team that is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a constructor team sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that constructor team.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
マーケット開始日： Mar 11, 2026, 7:32 AM ET
音量
$8,990終了日
Apr 4, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 11, 2026, 7:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a polymarket on the constructor team that achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 28, 2026.
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 4, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the constructor team that is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a constructor team sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that constructor team.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.Mercedes holds a commanding 86% implied probability for the Japanese Grand Prix constructor pole position at Suzuka after dominating FP2, where George Russell posted the quickest lap ahead of teammate Lewis Hamilton in P2, showcasing superior single-lap pace on the demanding high-downforce layout. Recent upgrades to their W16 chassis have elevated Mercedes' qualifying form, with three poles from the last five Grands Prix, while rivals like Red Bull struggled with understeer and McLaren cited setup compromises. Ferrari showed promise but lacks outright speed. Realistic challenges include a McLaren tyre strategy breakthrough, Red Bull unlocking balance in FP3, or unforecast rain disrupting qualifying sessions tomorrow. Trader consensus reflects Mercedes' recent momentum and track-suited aero package.
This is a polymarket on the constructor team that achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 28, 2026.
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 4, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the constructor team that is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a constructor team sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that constructor team.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 4, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the constructor team that is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a constructor team sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that constructor team.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
音量
$8,990終了日
Apr 4, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 11, 2026, 7:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mercedes holds a commanding 86% implied probability for the Japanese Grand Prix constructor pole position at Suzuka after dominating FP2, where George Russell posted the quickest lap ahead of teammate Lewis Hamilton in P2, showcasing superior single-lap pace on the demanding high-downforce layout. Recent upgrades to their W16 chassis have elevated Mercedes' qualifying form, with three poles from the last five Grands Prix, while rivals like Red Bull struggled with understeer and McLaren cited setup compromises. Ferrari showed promise but lacks outright speed. Realistic challenges include a McLaren tyre strategy breakthrough, Red Bull unlocking balance in FP3, or unforecast rain disrupting qualifying sessions tomorrow. Trader consensus reflects Mercedes' recent momentum and track-suited aero package.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問