Ferrari leads trader consensus at 54.5% implied probability for the Japanese Grand Prix fastest lap point after Charles Leclerc's strong P4 qualifying lap and consistent FP2/FP3 sector pace at Suzuka, where high-speed corners reward aerodynamic efficiency. Mercedes trails closely at 47% with George Russell and Lewis Hamilton posting competitive single-lap times in P7-P8 during quali, bolstered by recent upgrades improving their straightline speed. The market remains tight with Red Bull (40%), McLaren (39.5%), and others clustered around 37-40% due to Max Verstappen's pole position and the ultra-competitive field—top 10 drivers within 0.5 seconds—setting up potential late-race soft tire dashes on the demanding Suzuka circuit, where strategy and clean air will decide the point.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Alpine 78%
Audi Revolut 78%
Tgr Haas 78%
Racing Bulls 78%
Alpine
78%
Audi Revolut
78%
Tgr Haas
78%
Racing Bulls
78%
Cadillac
77%
Ferrari
54%
Mercedes
47%
Red Bull
41%
Mclaren Mastercard
40%
Aston Martin
-
Williams
-
Alpine 78%
Audi Revolut 78%
Tgr Haas 78%
Racing Bulls 78%
Alpine
78%
Audi Revolut
78%
Tgr Haas
78%
Racing Bulls
78%
Cadillac
77%
Ferrari
54%
Mercedes
47%
Red Bull
41%
Mclaren Mastercard
40%
Aston Martin
-
Williams
-
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve in favor of the constructor team whose driver is officially credited with the fastest lap in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The fastest lap must be set during the race itself; times from practice sessions, qualifying, or any other sessions are not considered.
If no driver completes a lap during the race (e.g., due to a red flag ending the race prematurely), this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
マーケット開始日: Mar 11, 2026, 7:48 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ferrari leads trader consensus at 54.5% implied probability for the Japanese Grand Prix fastest lap point after Charles Leclerc's strong P4 qualifying lap and consistent FP2/FP3 sector pace at Suzuka, where high-speed corners reward aerodynamic efficiency. Mercedes trails closely at 47% with George Russell and Lewis Hamilton posting competitive single-lap times in P7-P8 during quali, bolstered by recent upgrades improving their straightline speed. The market remains tight with Red Bull (40%), McLaren (39.5%), and others clustered around 37-40% due to Max Verstappen's pole position and the ultra-competitive field—top 10 drivers within 0.5 seconds—setting up potential late-race soft tire dashes on the demanding Suzuka circuit, where strategy and clean air will decide the point.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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