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icon for Claude Code Commits hit ___ by June 30?
テクノロジー·クロード

Claude Code Commits hit ___ by June 30?

icon for Claude Code Commits hit ___ by June 30?
テクノロジー·クロード

Claude Code Commits hit ___ by June 30?

Ended: 6月 30

Ended: 6月 30

$9,020 Vol.

2026/06/30
Polymarket

$9,020 Vol.

Polymarket

↑ 750.0k

$428 Vol.

Yes

↑ 700.0k

$684 Vol.

Yes

↑ 650.0k

$312 Vol.

Yes

↑ 600.0k

$3,122 Vol.

Yes

↑ 550.0k

$2,171 Vol.

Yes

↓ 450.0k

$592 Vol.

No

↓ 400.0k

$820 Vol.

No

↓ 350.0k

$891 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the daily Claude Code Commits figure is equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the specified figure for any date between market creation and the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only daily Claude Code Commits figures displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker (claude-commits.polymarket.com) will be considered. The resolution source displays underlying data by SemiAnalysis. Commit figures will be used exactly as published by the resolution source, without rounding. This market will resolve as soon as the specified figure has been reached, or as soon as the daily figure for the last date within the specified timeframe has been published and the specified figure has not been reached. If the relevant data is not released by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified timeframe (ET), this market will resolve according to the data available at that time. Revisions made to published daily Claude Code Commits figures before the daily figure for the last date within the specified timeframe has been published will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published daily Claude Code Commits figure from resolving this market. Revisions made after the daily figure for the last date within the specified timeframe has been published will not be considered. This market will resolve solely according to the daily Claude Code Commits data via SemiAnalysis displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker at claude-commits.polymarket.com.**Claude Code adoption continues to accelerate public GitHub commit share, with the tool now responsible for roughly 4% of daily commits as of mid-2026 and strong internal benchmarks at Anthropic showing over 80% of merged production code authored by Claude models.** Recent June updates to the Claude Code platform, including fixes for connection stability, sub-agent workflows, plugin performance, and remote session handling, have addressed earlier quality regressions from April and support higher-volume autonomous use. Model improvements such as Opus 4.8 (May 2026) boosted coding benchmarks like SWE-Bench, while the June 15 billing shift moved automated/agentic usage (GitHub Actions, headless sessions, SDK) to separate credits. This change could either sustain or temporarily disrupt commit momentum depending on how developers adapt workflows before month-end. Competitive pressure from other AI coding agents remains secondary, as Claude maintains a visible lead in attributed commit volume amid rapid developer ecosystem growth. Traders are watching for any late-June usage data or further tool refinements that could push daily figures toward higher thresholds by the June 30 resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the daily Claude Code Commits figure is equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the specified figure for any date between market creation and the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only daily Claude Code Commits figures displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker (claude-commits.polymarket.com) will be considered. The resolution source displays underlying data by SemiAnalysis. Commit figures will be used exactly as published by the resolution source, without rounding.

This market will resolve as soon as the specified figure has been reached, or as soon as the daily figure for the last date within the specified timeframe has been published and the specified figure has not been reached. If the relevant data is not released by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified timeframe (ET), this market will resolve according to the data available at that time.

Revisions made to published daily Claude Code Commits figures before the daily figure for the last date within the specified timeframe has been published will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published daily Claude Code Commits figure from resolving this market. Revisions made after the daily figure for the last date within the specified timeframe has been published will not be considered.

This market will resolve solely according to the daily Claude Code Commits data via SemiAnalysis displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker at claude-commits.polymarket.com.
音量
$9,020
終了日
2026/06/30
マーケット開始日
May 26, 2026, 6:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the daily Claude Code Commits figure is equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the specified figure for any date between market creation and the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only daily Claude Code Commits figures displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker (claude-commits.polymarket.com) will be considered. The resolution source displays underlying data by SemiAnalysis. Commit figures will be used exactly as published by the resolution source, without rounding. This market will resolve as soon as the specified figure has been reached, or as soon as the daily figure for the last date within the specified timeframe has been published and the specified figure has not been reached. If the relevant data is not released by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified timeframe (ET), this market will resolve according to the data available at that time. Revisions made to published daily Claude Code Commits figures before the daily figure for the last date within the specified timeframe has been published will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published daily Claude Code Commits figure from resolving this market. Revisions made after the daily figure for the last date within the specified timeframe has been published will not be considered. This market will resolve solely according to the daily Claude Code Commits data via SemiAnalysis displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker at claude-commits.polymarket.com.

提案された結果: Yes

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the daily Claude Code Commits figure is equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the specified figure for any date between market creation and the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only daily Claude Code Commits figures displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker (claude-commits.polymarket.com) will be considered. The resolution source displays underlying data by SemiAnalysis. Commit figures will be used exactly as published by the resolution source, without rounding. This market will resolve as soon as the specified figure has been reached, or as soon as the daily figure for the last date within the specified timeframe has been published and the specified figure has not been reached. If the relevant data is not released by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified timeframe (ET), this market will resolve according to the data available at that time. Revisions made to published daily Claude Code Commits figures before the daily figure for the last date within the specified timeframe has been published will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published daily Claude Code Commits figure from resolving this market. Revisions made after the daily figure for the last date within the specified timeframe has been published will not be considered. This market will resolve solely according to the daily Claude Code Commits data via SemiAnalysis displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker at claude-commits.polymarket.com.**Claude Code adoption continues to accelerate public GitHub commit share, with the tool now responsible for roughly 4% of daily commits as of mid-2026 and strong internal benchmarks at Anthropic showing over 80% of merged production code authored by Claude models.** Recent June updates to the Claude Code platform, including fixes for connection stability, sub-agent workflows, plugin performance, and remote session handling, have addressed earlier quality regressions from April and support higher-volume autonomous use. Model improvements such as Opus 4.8 (May 2026) boosted coding benchmarks like SWE-Bench, while the June 15 billing shift moved automated/agentic usage (GitHub Actions, headless sessions, SDK) to separate credits. This change could either sustain or temporarily disrupt commit momentum depending on how developers adapt workflows before month-end. Competitive pressure from other AI coding agents remains secondary, as Claude maintains a visible lead in attributed commit volume amid rapid developer ecosystem growth. Traders are watching for any late-June usage data or further tool refinements that could push daily figures toward higher thresholds by the June 30 resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the daily Claude Code Commits figure is equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the specified figure for any date between market creation and the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only daily Claude Code Commits figures displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker (claude-commits.polymarket.com) will be considered. The resolution source displays underlying data by SemiAnalysis. Commit figures will be used exactly as published by the resolution source, without rounding.

This market will resolve as soon as the specified figure has been reached, or as soon as the daily figure for the last date within the specified timeframe has been published and the specified figure has not been reached. If the relevant data is not released by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified timeframe (ET), this market will resolve according to the data available at that time.

Revisions made to published daily Claude Code Commits figures before the daily figure for the last date within the specified timeframe has been published will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published daily Claude Code Commits figure from resolving this market. Revisions made after the daily figure for the last date within the specified timeframe has been published will not be considered.

This market will resolve solely according to the daily Claude Code Commits data via SemiAnalysis displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker at claude-commits.polymarket.com.
音量
$9,020
終了日
2026/06/30
マーケット開始日
May 26, 2026, 6:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the daily Claude Code Commits figure is equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the specified figure for any date between market creation and the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only daily Claude Code Commits figures displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker (claude-commits.polymarket.com) will be considered. The resolution source displays underlying data by SemiAnalysis. Commit figures will be used exactly as published by the resolution source, without rounding. This market will resolve as soon as the specified figure has been reached, or as soon as the daily figure for the last date within the specified timeframe has been published and the specified figure has not been reached. If the relevant data is not released by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified timeframe (ET), this market will resolve according to the data available at that time. Revisions made to published daily Claude Code Commits figures before the daily figure for the last date within the specified timeframe has been published will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published daily Claude Code Commits figure from resolving this market. Revisions made after the daily figure for the last date within the specified timeframe has been published will not be considered. This market will resolve solely according to the daily Claude Code Commits data via SemiAnalysis displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker at claude-commits.polymarket.com.

提案された結果: Yes

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: Yes

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外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「Claude Code Commits hit ___ by June 30?」はPolymarket上の8個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「↑ 750.0k」で100%、次いで「↑ 700.0k」が100%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「Claude Code Commits hit ___ by June 30?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（May 26, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「Claude Code Commits hit ___ by June 30?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている8個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Claude Code Commits hit ___ by June 30?」の現在のフロントランナーは「↑ 750.0k」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「↑ 700.0k」で100%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Claude Code Commits hit ___ by June 30?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。